Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models anticipated a daytime high in the upper 80s for Houston on June 17, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, southeasterly flow near 10 mph, and elevated humidity that limited surface heating. These conditions deviated from June climatology at stations like Hobby Airport, where normals reach 91–93°F, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for the 88–89°F bin. Trader consensus reflects the reliability of NWS climatological reports for resolution and the low likelihood of rapid changes once observations finalized. A clear-sky surge allowing full insolation or an unexpected shift in steering winds could have pushed readings into the low 90s, but no such development materialized in the final data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on June 17?
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F或以下 <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$46,262 交易量
$46,262 交易量
77°F或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 100.0%
77°F或以下 <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$46,262 交易量
$46,262 交易量
77°F或以下
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
100%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models anticipated a daytime high in the upper 80s for Houston on June 17, 2026, driven by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, southeasterly flow near 10 mph, and elevated humidity that limited surface heating. These conditions deviated from June climatology at stations like Hobby Airport, where normals reach 91–93°F, producing the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for the 88–89°F bin. Trader consensus reflects the reliability of NWS climatological reports for resolution and the low likelihood of rapid changes once observations finalized. A clear-sky surge allowing full insolation or an unexpected shift in steering winds could have pushed readings into the low 90s, but no such development materialized in the final data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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