Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on June 20, consistent with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that brings frequent cloud cover and reduced solar insolation. This setup typically suppresses daytime maxima by limiting surface heating and promoting evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring highs near 23–24 °C rather than the seasonal sunny-day peaks around 26–28 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through changes in shortwave radiation and local advection. Recent guidance indicates no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection that would push temperatures higher, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on moderate values supported by these persistent meteorological conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月20日东京气温最高?
24°C 31%
23°C 28%
22°C 19%
21°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
10%
22°C
19%
23°C
28%
24°C
31%
25°C
10%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 31%
23°C 28%
22°C 19%
21°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
10%
22°C
19%
23°C
28%
24°C
31%
25°C
10%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency show cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers over Tokyo on June 20, consistent with the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that brings frequent cloud cover and reduced solar insolation. This setup typically suppresses daytime maxima by limiting surface heating and promoting evaporative cooling from rainfall, favoring highs near 23–24 °C rather than the seasonal sunny-day peaks around 26–28 °C. Subtle differences among leading outcomes hinge on model variations in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through changes in shortwave radiation and local advection. Recent guidance indicates no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection that would push temperatures higher, keeping market-implied probabilities concentrated on moderate values supported by these persistent meteorological conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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