Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a June 20 high near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm chances, aligning with trader emphasis on those bins. This reflects typical mid-June conditions driven by strengthening subtropical high pressure and increasing humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, tempered by possible northeasterly flow or brief cloud cover that caps daytime peaks. Historical climatology shows average highs around 30–32°C with notable day-to-day variability from urban heat island effects and passing short-wave troughs. Close market odds between 28–30°C highlight genuine uncertainty in model consensus on exact timing of any cooling showers or insolation, with resolution hinging on official Beijing observatory readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月20日北京气温最高?
30°C 24%
29°C 22%
28°C 21%
26°C 13%
25°C及以下
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
11%
28°C
21%
29°C
22%
30°C
24%
31°C
10%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35℃或以上
<1%
30°C 24%
29°C 22%
28°C 21%
26°C 13%
25°C及以下
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
11%
28°C
21%
29°C
22%
30°C
24%
31°C
10%
32°C
5%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35℃或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 18, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate point to a June 20 high near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm chances, aligning with trader emphasis on those bins. This reflects typical mid-June conditions driven by strengthening subtropical high pressure and increasing humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon, tempered by possible northeasterly flow or brief cloud cover that caps daytime peaks. Historical climatology shows average highs around 30–32°C with notable day-to-day variability from urban heat island effects and passing short-wave troughs. Close market odds between 28–30°C highlight genuine uncertainty in model consensus on exact timing of any cooling showers or insolation, with resolution hinging on official Beijing observatory readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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