Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Istanbul on June 26, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid typical early-summer variability. Regional pressure patterns, including potential high-pressure influence from the Balkans and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, will largely determine whether temperatures peak near the 28°C consensus or edge higher under clearer skies and stronger insolation. Historical June averages of 25–28°C provide context, while short-range model spreads introduce uncertainty around cloud cover, humidity, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap the high. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月26日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
6月26日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,082 交易量
$82,082 交易量
2026-06-26
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或更高
否
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,082 交易量
$82,082 交易量
2026-06-26
22°C或以下
$194 交易量
否
23°C
$526 交易量
否
24°C
$1,480 交易量
否
25°C
$1,475 交易量
否
26°C
$3,151 交易量
否
27°C
$40,693 交易量
否
28°C
$13,181 交易量
是
29°C
$5,442 交易量
否
30°C
$2,719 交易量
否
31°C
$6,376 交易量
否
32°C或更高
$6,845 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Istanbul on June 26, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid typical early-summer variability. Regional pressure patterns, including potential high-pressure influence from the Balkans and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, will largely determine whether temperatures peak near the 28°C consensus or edge higher under clearer skies and stronger insolation. Historical June averages of 25–28°C provide context, while short-range model spreads introduce uncertainty around cloud cover, humidity, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap the high. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 24, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$82,082结束日期
2026-06-26市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Istanbul on June 26, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid typical early-summer variability. Regional pressure patterns, including potential high-pressure influence from the Balkans and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, will largely determine whether temperatures peak near the 28°C consensus or edge higher under clearer skies and stronger insolation. Historical June averages of 25–28°C provide context, while short-range model spreads introduce uncertainty around cloud cover, humidity, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap the high. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$82,082结束日期
2026-06-26市场开放时间
Jun 24, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent forecasts from meteorological models point to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Istanbul on June 26, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes amid typical early-summer variability. Regional pressure patterns, including potential high-pressure influence from the Balkans and moderating sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Black Sea, will largely determine whether temperatures peak near the 28°C consensus or edge higher under clearer skies and stronger insolation. Historical June averages of 25–28°C provide context, while short-range model spreads introduce uncertainty around cloud cover, humidity, and any late-day thunderstorm development that could cap the high. Updated runs from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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