Recent PAGASA forecasts point to a July 15 high near 33°C in Manila under southwest monsoon influence, with 40% rain chance and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C, reflecting typical July averages of 31–32°C moderated by high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar heating. Urban heat island effects and wind patterns from the habagat can push localized maxima slightly higher or suppress them via afternoon thunderstorms, creating the observed uncertainty. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月15日马尼拉的最高温度？
7月15日马尼拉的最高温度？
33°C 47%
34°C 24%
32°C 19%
35°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-15
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C
47%
34°C
24%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 24%
32°C 19%
35°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-15
27°C或以下
$300 交易量
<1%
28°C
$202 交易量
<1%
29°C
$339 交易量
<1%
30°C
$325 交易量
1%
31°C
$854 交易量
2%
32°C
$850 交易量
19%
33°C
$763 交易量
47%
34°C
$1,574 交易量
24%
35°C
$262 交易量
6%
36°C
$381 交易量
1%
37°C或更高
$234 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts point to a July 15 high near 33°C in Manila under southwest monsoon influence, with 40% rain chance and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C, reflecting typical July averages of 31–32°C moderated by high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar heating. Urban heat island effects and wind patterns from the habagat can push localized maxima slightly higher or suppress them via afternoon thunderstorms, creating the observed uncertainty. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$6,084结束日期
2026-07-15市场开放时间
Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts point to a July 15 high near 33°C in Manila under southwest monsoon influence, with 40% rain chance and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C, reflecting typical July averages of 31–32°C moderated by high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar heating. Urban heat island effects and wind patterns from the habagat can push localized maxima slightly higher or suppress them via afternoon thunderstorms, creating the observed uncertainty. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,084结束日期
2026-07-15市场开放时间
Jul 13, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent PAGASA forecasts point to a July 15 high near 33°C in Manila under southwest monsoon influence, with 40% rain chance and partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 32–34°C, reflecting typical July averages of 31–32°C moderated by high humidity, frequent convective showers, and variable cloud cover that curbs peak solar heating. Urban heat island effects and wind patterns from the habagat can push localized maxima slightly higher or suppress them via afternoon thunderstorms, creating the observed uncertainty. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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