Trader consensus centers on 29–31°C outcomes for Manila’s June 30 maximum, reflecting PAGASA short-range guidance of 25–33°C amid variable convective activity. The developing El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +1.7°C, favors reduced rainfall and elevated daytime heating relative to neutral baselines, while the southwest monsoon onset introduces cloud bursts that can suppress peaks by several degrees. Urban heat-island effects and humidity further modulate observed maxima, with model spread on timing of showers creating the tight clustering around 30°C. Updated PAGASA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any sharp shifts in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月30日马尼拉的最高温度？
6月30日马尼拉的最高温度？
30°C 26%
29°C 24%
31°C 22%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
24%
30°C
26%
31°C
22%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C或更高
1%
30°C 26%
29°C 24%
31°C 22%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
26°C或以下
$2,204 交易量
1%
27°C
$22 交易量
2%
28°C
$5 交易量
6%
29°C
$5 交易量
24%
30°C
$0 交易量
26%
31°C
$24 交易量
22%
32°C
$18 交易量
12%
33°C
$8 交易量
4%
34°C
$226 交易量
1%
35°C
$219 交易量
1%
36°C或更高
$652 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 29–31°C outcomes for Manila’s June 30 maximum, reflecting PAGASA short-range guidance of 25–33°C amid variable convective activity. The developing El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +1.7°C, favors reduced rainfall and elevated daytime heating relative to neutral baselines, while the southwest monsoon onset introduces cloud bursts that can suppress peaks by several degrees. Urban heat-island effects and humidity further modulate observed maxima, with model spread on timing of showers creating the tight clustering around 30°C. Updated PAGASA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any sharp shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,802结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 29–31°C outcomes for Manila’s June 30 maximum, reflecting PAGASA short-range guidance of 25–33°C amid variable convective activity. The developing El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +1.7°C, favors reduced rainfall and elevated daytime heating relative to neutral baselines, while the southwest monsoon onset introduces cloud bursts that can suppress peaks by several degrees. Urban heat-island effects and humidity further modulate observed maxima, with model spread on timing of showers creating the tight clustering around 30°C. Updated PAGASA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any sharp shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,802结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETTrader consensus centers on 29–31°C outcomes for Manila’s June 30 maximum, reflecting PAGASA short-range guidance of 25–33°C amid variable convective activity. The developing El Niño, with Niño 3.4 anomalies near +1.7°C, favors reduced rainfall and elevated daytime heating relative to neutral baselines, while the southwest monsoon onset introduces cloud bursts that can suppress peaks by several degrees. Urban heat-island effects and humidity further modulate observed maxima, with model spread on timing of showers creating the tight clustering around 30°C. Updated PAGASA and global ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will likely drive any sharp shifts in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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