Recent meteorological model consensus projects Mexico City’s July 30 maximum near the seasonal July average of 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities centered on 25–26 °C outcomes. High-altitude location, elevated humidity, and typical rainy-season afternoon convection produce cloud cover and scattered showers that frequently limit daytime peaks, creating narrow uncertainty bands between adjacent temperature brackets. Minor forecast divergences stem from precise timing of convective development and any subtle shifts in steering flow, with official updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional expected to refine guidance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月30日墨西哥城气温最高？
7月30日墨西哥城气温最高？
26°C 50%
27°C 27%
25°C 18%
24°C 5%
最新
$11,985 交易量
最新
$11,985 交易量
2026-07-30
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
50%
27°C
27%
28°C
4%
29°C或更高
2%
26°C 50%
27°C 27%
25°C 18%
24°C 5%
最新
$11,985 交易量
最新
$11,985 交易量
2026-07-30
19°C或以下
$1,947 交易量
<1%
20°C
$2,118 交易量
<1%
21°C
$720 交易量
<1%
22°C
$418 交易量
<1%
23°C
$447 交易量
3%
24°C
$598 交易量
5%
25°C
$1,291 交易量
18%
26°C
$2,679 交易量
50%
27°C
$973 交易量
27%
28°C
$285 交易量
4%
29°C或更高
$508 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus projects Mexico City’s July 30 maximum near the seasonal July average of 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities centered on 25–26 °C outcomes. High-altitude location, elevated humidity, and typical rainy-season afternoon convection produce cloud cover and scattered showers that frequently limit daytime peaks, creating narrow uncertainty bands between adjacent temperature brackets. Minor forecast divergences stem from precise timing of convective development and any subtle shifts in steering flow, with official updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional expected to refine guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$11,985结束日期
2026-07-30市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus projects Mexico City’s July 30 maximum near the seasonal July average of 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities centered on 25–26 °C outcomes. High-altitude location, elevated humidity, and typical rainy-season afternoon convection produce cloud cover and scattered showers that frequently limit daytime peaks, creating narrow uncertainty bands between adjacent temperature brackets. Minor forecast divergences stem from precise timing of convective development and any subtle shifts in steering flow, with official updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional expected to refine guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,985结束日期
2026-07-30市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 9:04 PM ETRecent meteorological model consensus projects Mexico City’s July 30 maximum near the seasonal July average of 24–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities centered on 25–26 °C outcomes. High-altitude location, elevated humidity, and typical rainy-season afternoon convection produce cloud cover and scattered showers that frequently limit daytime peaks, creating narrow uncertainty bands between adjacent temperature brackets. Minor forecast divergences stem from precise timing of convective development and any subtle shifts in steering flow, with official updates from agencies like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional expected to refine guidance before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题