Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports peak Milan temperatures near 34–35 °C on July 7 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection from North Africa, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between these bins in trader pricing reflects typical ensemble uncertainty of 1–2 °C arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact ridge positioning. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether subsidence warming pushes the maximum to 35 °C or holds it at 34 °C, while any earlier Atlantic trough intrusion remains the principal downside risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on July 7?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 7?
34°C 44%
35°C 26%
33°C 24%
32°C 3.8%
最新
$17,642 交易量
最新
$17,642 交易量
2026-07-07
31°C or below
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
24%
34°C
44%
35°C
26%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
35°C 26%
33°C 24%
32°C 3.8%
最新
$17,642 交易量
最新
$17,642 交易量
2026-07-07
31°C or below
$1,356 交易量
1%
32°C
$1,500 交易量
4%
33°C
$1,881 交易量
24%
34°C
$7,019 交易量
44%
35°C
$1,753 交易量
26%
36°C
$709 交易量
4%
37°C
$913 交易量
1%
38°C
$629 交易量
1%
39°C
$655 交易量
<1%
40°C
$445 交易量
<1%
41°C or higher
$784 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports peak Milan temperatures near 34–35 °C on July 7 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection from North Africa, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between these bins in trader pricing reflects typical ensemble uncertainty of 1–2 °C arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact ridge positioning. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether subsidence warming pushes the maximum to 35 °C or holds it at 34 °C, while any earlier Atlantic trough intrusion remains the principal downside risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$17,642结束日期
2026-07-07市场开放时间
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports peak Milan temperatures near 34–35 °C on July 7 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection from North Africa, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between these bins in trader pricing reflects typical ensemble uncertainty of 1–2 °C arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact ridge positioning. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether subsidence warming pushes the maximum to 35 °C or holds it at 34 °C, while any earlier Atlantic trough intrusion remains the principal downside risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,642结束日期
2026-07-07市场开放时间
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports peak Milan temperatures near 34–35 °C on July 7 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection from North Africa, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between these bins in trader pricing reflects typical ensemble uncertainty of 1–2 °C arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact ridge positioning. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether subsidence warming pushes the maximum to 35 °C or holds it at 34 °C, while any earlier Atlantic trough intrusion remains the principal downside risk.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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