Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月20日纽约市最高气温？
6月20日纽约市最高气温？
82-83°F 67%
80-81°F 24%
84-85°F 9%
78-79°F 3.5%
最新
$24,521 交易量
最新
$24,521 交易量
2026-06-20
75°F或以下
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
67%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 67%
80-81°F 24%
84-85°F 9%
78-79°F 3.5%
最新
$24,521 交易量
最新
$24,521 交易量
2026-06-20
75°F或以下
$1,326 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$2,729 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$2,127 交易量
3%
80-81°F
$3,398 交易量
24%
82-83°F
$6,392 交易量
67%
84-85°F
$4,080 交易量
9%
86-87°F
$2,283 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$1,005 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$1,206 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$425 交易量
<1%
94°F或更高
$475 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$24,521结束日期
2026-06-20市场开放时间
Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,521结束日期
2026-06-20市场开放时间
Jun 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate mostly sunny conditions with light northwest winds and minimal cloud cover for New York City on June 20, supporting afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 81°F at Central Park. Key differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing depth and any residual moisture from upstream convection, which could add or subtract 2–4°F depending on model resolution. With leading market-implied probabilities clustered tightly between 80–85°F, traders appear to be weighting the spread in short-range guidance from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, where small differences in 500-hPa ridge placement produce the observed outcome distribution. Updated model runs expected overnight will likely refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题