Trader consensus in this market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 1, reflecting short-range model guidance and recent observations that place the outcome near or slightly above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Daily highs in this tropical location exhibit modest variability driven by cloud cover, convective activity during the rainy season, and local steering patterns, with ensemble forecasts showing only limited spread around these values. The ongoing strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, adds a modest warming influence through altered regional circulation, though day-to-day fluctuations in humidity and precipitation remain the dominant near-term variables. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月1日巴拿马城气温最高？
8月1日巴拿马城气温最高？
33°C 42%
32°C 37%
31°C 14%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
37%
33°C
42%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C或更高
1%
33°C 42%
32°C 37%
31°C 14%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-01
26°C或以下
$179 交易量
<1%
27°C
$64 交易量
<1%
28°C
$20 交易量
1%
29°C
$117 交易量
3%
30°C
$25 交易量
7%
31°C
$107 交易量
14%
32°C
$156 交易量
37%
33°C
$69 交易量
42%
34°C
$33 交易量
6%
35°C
$32 交易量
3%
36°C或更高
$10 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 1, reflecting short-range model guidance and recent observations that place the outcome near or slightly above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Daily highs in this tropical location exhibit modest variability driven by cloud cover, convective activity during the rainy season, and local steering patterns, with ensemble forecasts showing only limited spread around these values. The ongoing strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, adds a modest warming influence through altered regional circulation, though day-to-day fluctuations in humidity and precipitation remain the dominant near-term variables. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$811结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 1, reflecting short-range model guidance and recent observations that place the outcome near or slightly above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Daily highs in this tropical location exhibit modest variability driven by cloud cover, convective activity during the rainy season, and local steering patterns, with ensemble forecasts showing only limited spread around these values. The ongoing strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, adds a modest warming influence through altered regional circulation, though day-to-day fluctuations in humidity and precipitation remain the dominant near-term variables. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$811结束日期
2026-08-01市场开放时间
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTrader consensus in this market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 1, reflecting short-range model guidance and recent observations that place the outcome near or slightly above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Daily highs in this tropical location exhibit modest variability driven by cloud cover, convective activity during the rainy season, and local steering patterns, with ensemble forecasts showing only limited spread around these values. The ongoing strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, adds a modest warming influence through altered regional circulation, though day-to-day fluctuations in humidity and precipitation remain the dominant near-term variables. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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