Traders see near-even odds between 33°C and 34°C for Panama City’s July 15 maximum because official forecasts, including the Met Office projection of 33°C daytime highs, place the outcome at the upper end of the typical July range of 29–33.7°C. The Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that caps extreme heating, keeping most days near the 31°C climatological average while allowing brief clear periods to push readings 1–2°C higher. Recent model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, so resolution hinges on exact timing of showers and insolation rather than broader seasonal shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月15日巴拿马城气温最高?
33°C 34%
34°C 34%
32°C 16%
35°C 10.4%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
16%
33°C
34%
34°C
34%
35°C
10%
36°C或更高
10%
33°C 34%
34°C 34%
32°C 16%
35°C 10.4%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
16%
33°C
34%
34°C
34%
35°C
10%
36°C或更高
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see near-even odds between 33°C and 34°C for Panama City’s July 15 maximum because official forecasts, including the Met Office projection of 33°C daytime highs, place the outcome at the upper end of the typical July range of 29–33.7°C. The Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover that caps extreme heating, keeping most days near the 31°C climatological average while allowing brief clear periods to push readings 1–2°C higher. Recent model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, so resolution hinges on exact timing of showers and insolation rather than broader seasonal shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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