**Trader consensus for Panama City, Panama’s July 25 high temperature centers on 31–33 °C because climatological averages and short-range models place the daily maximum in that narrow band.** July is peak rainy-season conditions, with the Intertropical Convergence Zone driving frequent afternoon convection that limits peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and local models show expected highs of 29–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, keeping the most probable outcomes tightly clustered. The near-even split between 32 °C and 33 °C (30.5 % and 29.0 %) reflects uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any convective cells on the 25th; earlier or heavier rainfall would cap the maximum closer to 31 °C, while a later or weaker shower pattern could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Lower-probability 34 °C+ outcomes would require unusually suppressed convection and stronger insolation, conditions not currently favored by guidance. Historical July maxima average near 30–31 °C, so market pricing aligns with both the seasonal baseline and the latest model consensus that modest variability around that mean is the most likely scenario.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月25日巴拿马城气温最高?
32°C 38%
33°C 37%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
38%
33°C
37%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 37%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
18%
32°C
38%
33°C
37%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus for Panama City, Panama’s July 25 high temperature centers on 31–33 °C because climatological averages and short-range models place the daily maximum in that narrow band.** July is peak rainy-season conditions, with the Intertropical Convergence Zone driving frequent afternoon convection that limits peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and local models show expected highs of 29–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, keeping the most probable outcomes tightly clustered. The near-even split between 32 °C and 33 °C (30.5 % and 29.0 %) reflects uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any convective cells on the 25th; earlier or heavier rainfall would cap the maximum closer to 31 °C, while a later or weaker shower pattern could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Lower-probability 34 °C+ outcomes would require unusually suppressed convection and stronger insolation, conditions not currently favored by guidance. Historical July maxima average near 30–31 °C, so market pricing aligns with both the seasonal baseline and the latest model consensus that modest variability around that mean is the most likely scenario.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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