Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and local meteorological updates point to a July 26 high near 35–36°C in Chengdu, with cloud cover, possible thundershowers, and moderate humidity moderating peak values despite the Sichuan basin’s heat-trapping topography. Trader consensus clusters around 37–40°C because early-July observations showed sustained 36–38°C readings amid an unusually active heat episode, and subtle model spreads in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief intensification. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, yet recent years exhibit more frequent excursions above 35°C tied to broader warming trends. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at the precise daily maximum, leaving room for last-minute shifts from updated guidance or localized convective activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月26日成都气温最高？
7月26日成都气温最高？
38°C 26%
39°C 24%
37°C 20%
40°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
33°C or below
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
11%
37°C
20%
38°C
26%
39°C
24%
40°C
19%
41°C
4%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 26%
39°C 24%
37°C 20%
40°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-07-26
33°C or below
$292 交易量
1%
34°C
$297 交易量
2%
35°C
$207 交易量
4%
36°C
$235 交易量
11%
37°C
$213 交易量
20%
38°C
$234 交易量
26%
39°C
$581 交易量
24%
40°C
$907 交易量
19%
41°C
$452 交易量
4%
42°C
$102 交易量
<1%
43°C or higher
$58 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and local meteorological updates point to a July 26 high near 35–36°C in Chengdu, with cloud cover, possible thundershowers, and moderate humidity moderating peak values despite the Sichuan basin’s heat-trapping topography. Trader consensus clusters around 37–40°C because early-July observations showed sustained 36–38°C readings amid an unusually active heat episode, and subtle model spreads in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief intensification. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, yet recent years exhibit more frequent excursions above 35°C tied to broader warming trends. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at the precise daily maximum, leaving room for last-minute shifts from updated guidance or localized convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,577结束日期
2026-07-26市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and local meteorological updates point to a July 26 high near 35–36°C in Chengdu, with cloud cover, possible thundershowers, and moderate humidity moderating peak values despite the Sichuan basin’s heat-trapping topography. Trader consensus clusters around 37–40°C because early-July observations showed sustained 36–38°C readings amid an unusually active heat episode, and subtle model spreads in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief intensification. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, yet recent years exhibit more frequent excursions above 35°C tied to broader warming trends. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at the precise daily maximum, leaving room for last-minute shifts from updated guidance or localized convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,577结束日期
2026-07-26市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and local meteorological updates point to a July 26 high near 35–36°C in Chengdu, with cloud cover, possible thundershowers, and moderate humidity moderating peak values despite the Sichuan basin’s heat-trapping topography. Trader consensus clusters around 37–40°C because early-July observations showed sustained 36–38°C readings amid an unusually active heat episode, and subtle model spreads in steering patterns or reduced rainfall could allow brief intensification. Historical July baselines average 30–31°C, yet recent years exhibit more frequent excursions above 35°C tied to broader warming trends. Resolution hinges on official station measurements at the precise daily maximum, leaving room for last-minute shifts from updated guidance or localized convective activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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