**Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with variable June synoptic patterns, keeps Qingdao’s June 21 maximum temperature tightly clustered near the long-term average of 24–27 °C.** Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows a mix of weak high pressure and possible southeasterly flow that could allow brief warming to the upper 20s or low 30s °C, while persistent marine air or increased cloud cover would cap readings near 28–29 °C. The market’s near-even distribution across 30–33 °C reflects this uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind trajectory over the next 48 hours, with traders weighting the modest El Niño-related warmth signal against Qingdao’s reliable sea-breeze suppression of extreme peaks. Updated CMA and global model runs expected later today will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the 30 °C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 21?
30°C 32%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
22%
30°C
32%
31°C
27%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 32%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
22%
30°C
32%
31°C
27%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 19, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea, combined with variable June synoptic patterns, keeps Qingdao’s June 21 maximum temperature tightly clustered near the long-term average of 24–27 °C.** Short-range ensemble guidance from regional models shows a mix of weak high pressure and possible southeasterly flow that could allow brief warming to the upper 20s or low 30s °C, while persistent marine air or increased cloud cover would cap readings near 28–29 °C. The market’s near-even distribution across 30–33 °C reflects this uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind trajectory over the next 48 hours, with traders weighting the modest El Niño-related warmth signal against Qingdao’s reliable sea-breeze suppression of extreme peaks. Updated CMA and global model runs expected later today will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the 30 °C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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