Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping San Francisco highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 70°F on July 29. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to a gradual warming trend midweek behind an expanding ridge, yet strong afternoon sea breezes and possible morning stratus should limit inland heat intrusion into the city. Recent Bay Area heat episodes have largely spared the immediate coast, keeping the distribution centered on 68–73°F bins. Key variables include marine-layer depth, wind speed and direction, and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two; traders price the highest uncertainty around these thresholds given typical July variability and the one-day forecast horizon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月29日旧金山气温最高？
7月29日旧金山气温最高？
68-69°F 100.0%
61°F或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$31,787 交易量
$31,787 交易量
2026-07-29
61°F或以下
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
100%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80华氏度或更高
<1%
68-69°F 100.0%
61°F或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$31,787 交易量
$31,787 交易量
2026-07-29
61°F或以下
$757 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$652 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$5,176 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$4,755 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$6,881 交易量
100%
70-71°F
$6,276 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$1,693 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$1,128 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$2,670 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$1,310 交易量
<1%
80华氏度或更高
$488 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping San Francisco highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 70°F on July 29. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to a gradual warming trend midweek behind an expanding ridge, yet strong afternoon sea breezes and possible morning stratus should limit inland heat intrusion into the city. Recent Bay Area heat episodes have largely spared the immediate coast, keeping the distribution centered on 68–73°F bins. Key variables include marine-layer depth, wind speed and direction, and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two; traders price the highest uncertainty around these thresholds given typical July variability and the one-day forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
交易量
$31,787结束日期
2026-07-29市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping San Francisco highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 70°F on July 29. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to a gradual warming trend midweek behind an expanding ridge, yet strong afternoon sea breezes and possible morning stratus should limit inland heat intrusion into the city. Recent Bay Area heat episodes have largely spared the immediate coast, keeping the distribution centered on 68–73°F bins. Key variables include marine-layer depth, wind speed and direction, and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two; traders price the highest uncertainty around these thresholds given typical July variability and the one-day forecast horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,787结束日期
2026-07-29市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 8:02 PM ETMarine layer and persistent onshore flow from the Pacific are the dominant factors capping San Francisco highs near or slightly above seasonal normals around 70°F on July 29. Official NWS guidance and model consensus point to a gradual warming trend midweek behind an expanding ridge, yet strong afternoon sea breezes and possible morning stratus should limit inland heat intrusion into the city. Recent Bay Area heat episodes have largely spared the immediate coast, keeping the distribution centered on 68–73°F bins. Key variables include marine-layer depth, wind speed and direction, and any late-day clearing that could allow an extra degree or two; traders price the highest uncertainty around these thresholds given typical July variability and the one-day forecast horizon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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