Recent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月15日首尔气温最高？
7月15日首尔气温最高？
28°C 39%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-15
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
16%
28°C
39%
29°C
31%
30°C
11%
31°C or higher
4%
28°C 39%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
30°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-15
21°C or below
$873 交易量
<1%
22°C
$351 交易量
<1%
23°C
$520 交易量
<1%
24°C
$436 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,847 交易量
1%
26°C
$891 交易量
2%
27°C
$294 交易量
16%
28°C
$393 交易量
39%
29°C
$1,111 交易量
31%
30°C
$1,775 交易量
11%
31°C or higher
$1,270 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$9,701结束日期
2026-07-15市场开放时间
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,701结束日期
2026-07-15市场开放时间
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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