Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's peak temperature on July 8 will most likely fall between 33–35°C, driven by typical midsummer subtropical high pressure combined with high humidity and urban heat island amplification. Thunderstorm activity expected later in the day could cap maximum readings through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clearer morning conditions or delayed precipitation might push values toward 36°C. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive until updated model runs and local observations refine the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 8?
34°C 36%
35°C 29%
33°C 23%
32°C 7.4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
23%
34°C
36%
35°C
29%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 36%
35°C 29%
33°C 23%
32°C 7.4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
23%
34°C
36%
35°C
29%
36°C
5%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's peak temperature on July 8 will most likely fall between 33–35°C, driven by typical midsummer subtropical high pressure combined with high humidity and urban heat island amplification. Thunderstorm activity expected later in the day could cap maximum readings through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, while clearer morning conditions or delayed precipitation might push values toward 36°C. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive until updated model runs and local observations refine the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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