Short-term forecast spreads across models like those from AccuWeather and EaseWeather drive the tight clustering around 30–33°C for Shenzhen’s June 30 peak, reflecting subtropical monsoon conditions with typical daytime highs near 31–32°C amid 75–85% humidity and afternoon convection. Recent runs indicate partly cloudy skies with patchy showers or thunderstorms that could cap temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing for higher readings, consistent with June climatology where convective variability produces a broad distribution. Traders weigh these factors against historical baselines near 30–31°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport and updated model outputs over the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 30?
33°C 29%
31°C 28%
32°C 26%
34°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
28%
32°C
26%
33°C
29%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 29%
31°C 28%
32°C 26%
34°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
28%
32°C
26%
33°C
29%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Short-term forecast spreads across models like those from AccuWeather and EaseWeather drive the tight clustering around 30–33°C for Shenzhen’s June 30 peak, reflecting subtropical monsoon conditions with typical daytime highs near 31–32°C amid 75–85% humidity and afternoon convection. Recent runs indicate partly cloudy skies with patchy showers or thunderstorms that could cap temperatures through evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing for higher readings, consistent with June climatology where convective variability produces a broad distribution. Traders weigh these factors against historical baselines near 30–31°C, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport and updated model outputs over the next 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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