Recent Central Weather Administration outlooks and ensemble model runs point to a building subtropical ridge supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for Taipei on June 29, aligning with the tight 32–34 °C cluster that dominates trader pricing. Key variables include the strength and position of the Western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates solar heating and moisture advection, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convective showers that can cap maximum temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 31–32 °C, so current guidance above average reflects drier conditions expected after an early-month wet spell, though model spread on boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze effects keeps the three leading outcomes within a few percentage points of each other.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月29日台北气温最高？
6月29日台北气温最高？
34°C 29%
33°C 26%
35°C 14.3%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-29
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
6%
33°C
26%
34°C
29%
35°C
14%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
4%
34°C 29%
33°C 26%
35°C 14.3%
31°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-06-29
27°C or below
$26 交易量
<1%
28°C
$117 交易量
<1%
29°C
$23 交易量
1%
30°C
$18 交易量
3%
31°C
$9 交易量
8%
32°C
$0 交易量
6%
33°C
$25 交易量
26%
34°C
$40 交易量
29%
35°C
$14 交易量
14%
36°C
$23 交易量
6%
37°C or higher
$21 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration outlooks and ensemble model runs point to a building subtropical ridge supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for Taipei on June 29, aligning with the tight 32–34 °C cluster that dominates trader pricing. Key variables include the strength and position of the Western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates solar heating and moisture advection, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convective showers that can cap maximum temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 31–32 °C, so current guidance above average reflects drier conditions expected after an early-month wet spell, though model spread on boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze effects keeps the three leading outcomes within a few percentage points of each other.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$317结束日期
2026-06-29市场开放时间
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration outlooks and ensemble model runs point to a building subtropical ridge supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for Taipei on June 29, aligning with the tight 32–34 °C cluster that dominates trader pricing. Key variables include the strength and position of the Western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates solar heating and moisture advection, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convective showers that can cap maximum temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 31–32 °C, so current guidance above average reflects drier conditions expected after an early-month wet spell, though model spread on boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze effects keeps the three leading outcomes within a few percentage points of each other.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$317结束日期
2026-06-29市场开放时间
Jun 27, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent Central Weather Administration outlooks and ensemble model runs point to a building subtropical ridge supporting daytime highs in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius for Taipei on June 29, aligning with the tight 32–34 °C cluster that dominates trader pricing. Key variables include the strength and position of the Western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates solar heating and moisture advection, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convective showers that can cap maximum temperatures by several degrees through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical June climatology shows typical maxima near 31–32 °C, so current guidance above average reflects drier conditions expected after an early-month wet spell, though model spread on boundary-layer moisture and sea-breeze effects keeps the three leading outcomes within a few percentage points of each other.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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