Trump's endorsement has positioned former state representative Joe Mitchell as the decisive frontrunner in Iowa's open 2nd congressional district Republican primary on June 2. Shannon Lundgren's January withdrawal narrowed the field to Mitchell and state senator Charlie McClintock, allowing Mitchell's strong fundraising and party consolidation to lock in overwhelming trader consensus. McClintock remains the only remaining alternative yet trails significantly in resources and momentum. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout shift before primary day represents the primary realistic path to altering the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于乔·米切尔 95.3%
查理·麦克林托克 1.4%
香农·伦德格伦 <1%
$24,453 交易量
$24,453 交易量
2026-06-02
乔·米切尔
95%
查理·麦克林托克
1%
香农·伦德格伦
<1%
乔·米切尔 95.3%
查理·麦克林托克 1.4%
香农·伦德格伦 <1%
$24,453 交易量
$24,453 交易量
2026-06-02
乔·米切尔
$7,535 交易量
95%
查理·麦克林托克
$2,071 交易量
1%
香农·伦德格伦
$14,848 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's endorsement has positioned former state representative Joe Mitchell as the decisive frontrunner in Iowa's open 2nd congressional district Republican primary on June 2. Shannon Lundgren's January withdrawal narrowed the field to Mitchell and state senator Charlie McClintock, allowing Mitchell's strong fundraising and party consolidation to lock in overwhelming trader consensus. McClintock remains the only remaining alternative yet trails significantly in resources and momentum. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout shift before primary day represents the primary realistic path to altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
交易量
$24,453结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's endorsement has positioned former state representative Joe Mitchell as the decisive frontrunner in Iowa's open 2nd congressional district Republican primary on June 2. Shannon Lundgren's January withdrawal narrowed the field to Mitchell and state senator Charlie McClintock, allowing Mitchell's strong fundraising and party consolidation to lock in overwhelming trader consensus. McClintock remains the only remaining alternative yet trails significantly in resources and momentum. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout shift before primary day represents the primary realistic path to altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$24,453结束日期
2026-06-02市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump's endorsement has positioned former state representative Joe Mitchell as the decisive frontrunner in Iowa's open 2nd congressional district Republican primary on June 2. Shannon Lundgren's January withdrawal narrowed the field to Mitchell and state senator Charlie McClintock, allowing Mitchell's strong fundraising and party consolidation to lock in overwhelming trader consensus. McClintock remains the only remaining alternative yet trails significantly in resources and momentum. A major scandal, health event, or unexpected turnout shift before primary day represents the primary realistic path to altering the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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