Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor, which runs until January 31, 2028, represents the primary structural factor shaping trader views on his potential departure from the Board. His four-year chairmanship concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation as successor, after which Powell stated he would remain on the Board for a period to be determined pending resolution of an internal investigation into headquarters construction costs. With the Fed's policy rate path and inflation trajectory still sensitive to leadership stability, markets price in probabilities around whether political or investigative developments accelerate his exit before the statutory end date. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any administration communications on Board appointments could introduce near-term volatility in implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$435,015 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
20%
$435,015 交易量
12月31日
$148,423 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor, which runs until January 31, 2028, represents the primary structural factor shaping trader views on his potential departure from the Board. His four-year chairmanship concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation as successor, after which Powell stated he would remain on the Board for a period to be determined pending resolution of an internal investigation into headquarters construction costs. With the Fed's policy rate path and inflation trajectory still sensitive to leadership stability, markets price in probabilities around whether political or investigative developments accelerate his exit before the statutory end date. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any administration communications on Board appointments could introduce near-term volatility in implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$435,015结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor, which runs until January 31, 2028, represents the primary structural factor shaping trader views on his potential departure from the Board. His four-year chairmanship concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation as successor, after which Powell stated he would remain on the Board for a period to be determined pending resolution of an internal investigation into headquarters construction costs. With the Fed's policy rate path and inflation trajectory still sensitive to leadership stability, markets price in probabilities around whether political or investigative developments accelerate his exit before the statutory end date. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any administration communications on Board appointments could introduce near-term volatility in implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$435,015结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor, which runs until January 31, 2028, represents the primary structural factor shaping trader views on his potential departure from the Board. His four-year chairmanship concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation as successor, after which Powell stated he would remain on the Board for a period to be determined pending resolution of an internal investigation into headquarters construction costs. With the Fed's policy rate path and inflation trajectory still sensitive to leadership stability, markets price in probabilities around whether political or investigative developments accelerate his exit before the statutory end date. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any administration communications on Board appointments could introduce near-term volatility in implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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