**Traders heavily favor "No" at 82.9% implied probability because the current charge—stemming from an August 2024 allegation that led to Justin Aguiar’s November 2025 arrest—remains in early procedural stages with no trial date set before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff.** Aguiar, the Toronto dating coach and content creator known as Justin Marc, faces one count of sexual assault; two prior charges from 2019 and 2023 were withdrawn, and Canadian sexual assault conviction rates remain low amid court backlogs. Recent coverage, including additional unverified allegations reported in 2026, has not produced confirmed updates on plea negotiations or scheduling that would accelerate a guilty verdict. Market consensus reflects the realistic timeline for Ontario Court proceedings, where dismissals, delays, or non-guilt resolutions are common within the narrow window remaining.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Justin Aguiar在2027年之前被判犯有性侵犯罪？
Justin Aguiar在2027年之前被判犯有性侵犯罪？
是
31% 概率
$52,562 交易量
$52,562 交易量
2026-12-31
是
31% 概率
$52,562 交易量
$52,562 交易量
2026-12-31
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.**Traders heavily favor "No" at 82.9% implied probability because the current charge—stemming from an August 2024 allegation that led to Justin Aguiar’s November 2025 arrest—remains in early procedural stages with no trial date set before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff.** Aguiar, the Toronto dating coach and content creator known as Justin Marc, faces one count of sexual assault; two prior charges from 2019 and 2023 were withdrawn, and Canadian sexual assault conviction rates remain low amid court backlogs. Recent coverage, including additional unverified allegations reported in 2026, has not produced confirmed updates on plea negotiations or scheduling that would accelerate a guilty verdict. Market consensus reflects the realistic timeline for Ontario Court proceedings, where dismissals, delays, or non-guilt resolutions are common within the narrow window remaining.
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 7:35 PM ET
交易量
$52,562结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 7:35 PM ETJustin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.**Traders heavily favor "No" at 82.9% implied probability because the current charge—stemming from an August 2024 allegation that led to Justin Aguiar’s November 2025 arrest—remains in early procedural stages with no trial date set before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff.** Aguiar, the Toronto dating coach and content creator known as Justin Marc, faces one count of sexual assault; two prior charges from 2019 and 2023 were withdrawn, and Canadian sexual assault conviction rates remain low amid court backlogs. Recent coverage, including additional unverified allegations reported in 2026, has not produced confirmed updates on plea negotiations or scheduling that would accelerate a guilty verdict. Market consensus reflects the realistic timeline for Ontario Court proceedings, where dismissals, delays, or non-guilt resolutions are common within the narrow window remaining.
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024. You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$52,562结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 7:35 PM ET**Traders heavily favor "No" at 82.9% implied probability because the current charge—stemming from an August 2024 allegation that led to Justin Aguiar’s November 2025 arrest—remains in early procedural stages with no trial date set before the December 31, 2026 resolution cutoff.** Aguiar, the Toronto dating coach and content creator known as Justin Marc, faces one count of sexual assault; two prior charges from 2019 and 2023 were withdrawn, and Canadian sexual assault conviction rates remain low amid court backlogs. Recent coverage, including additional unverified allegations reported in 2026, has not produced confirmed updates on plea negotiations or scheduling that would accelerate a guilty verdict. Market consensus reflects the realistic timeline for Ontario Court proceedings, where dismissals, delays, or non-guilt resolutions are common within the narrow window remaining.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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