**Presidential immunity under Article 84 of the South Korean Constitution has frozen Lee Jae-myung’s pre-election criminal cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, preventing arrest or trial while he serves his five-year term.** Courts have repeatedly cited these protections since his 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal. The Democratic Party’s National Assembly majority further reduces impeachment risk, which would require a two-thirds vote to strip immunity. Recent developments, including Lee’s September 2026 press conference ruling out re-election and urging removal of indictment-dismissal provisions from a proposed special-counsel bill on alleged prior prosecutorial misconduct, have contained political fallout without triggering new legal action. Approval ratings near 37% and opposition criticism have not produced legislative momentum for removal proceedings before the December 2026 market deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
$548,264 交易量
$548,264 交易量
2026-12-31
是
7% 概率
$548,264 交易量
$548,264 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Presidential immunity under Article 84 of the South Korean Constitution has frozen Lee Jae-myung’s pre-election criminal cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, preventing arrest or trial while he serves his five-year term.** Courts have repeatedly cited these protections since his 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal. The Democratic Party’s National Assembly majority further reduces impeachment risk, which would require a two-thirds vote to strip immunity. Recent developments, including Lee’s September 2026 press conference ruling out re-election and urging removal of indictment-dismissal provisions from a proposed special-counsel bill on alleged prior prosecutorial misconduct, have contained political fallout without triggering new legal action. Approval ratings near 37% and opposition criticism have not produced legislative momentum for removal proceedings before the December 2026 market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
交易量
$548,264结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Presidential immunity under Article 84 of the South Korean Constitution has frozen Lee Jae-myung’s pre-election criminal cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, preventing arrest or trial while he serves his five-year term.** Courts have repeatedly cited these protections since his 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal. The Democratic Party’s National Assembly majority further reduces impeachment risk, which would require a two-thirds vote to strip immunity. Recent developments, including Lee’s September 2026 press conference ruling out re-election and urging removal of indictment-dismissal provisions from a proposed special-counsel bill on alleged prior prosecutorial misconduct, have contained political fallout without triggering new legal action. Approval ratings near 37% and opposition criticism have not produced legislative momentum for removal proceedings before the December 2026 market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$548,264结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET**Presidential immunity under Article 84 of the South Korean Constitution has frozen Lee Jae-myung’s pre-election criminal cases, including election-law violations and development-project corruption allegations, preventing arrest or trial while he serves his five-year term.** Courts have repeatedly cited these protections since his 2025 inauguration following Yoon Suk-yeol’s removal. The Democratic Party’s National Assembly majority further reduces impeachment risk, which would require a two-thirds vote to strip immunity. Recent developments, including Lee’s September 2026 press conference ruling out re-election and urging removal of indictment-dismissal provisions from a proposed special-counsel bill on alleged prior prosecutorial misconduct, have contained political fallout without triggering new legal action. Approval ratings near 37% and opposition criticism have not produced legislative momentum for removal proceedings before the December 2026 market deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题