Recent Met Office guidance indicates a minimum of 19°C for London on July 28 under a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 29°C, following an early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C. Ensemble model spreads and minor variations in overnight cloud cover, wind, and boundary-layer mixing create tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes, explaining the near-even 36% market-implied probabilities. Clearer skies would favor slightly lower readings via enhanced radiational cooling, while any increase in humidity or light winds could hold minima near 20°C. Updated short-range runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月28日伦敦最低气温？
7月28日伦敦最低气温？
19°C 31%
18°C 24%
14°C or below 21%
20°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-07-28
14°C or below
21%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
24%
19°C
31%
20°C
19%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 31%
18°C 24%
14°C or below 21%
20°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-07-28
14°C or below
$27 交易量
21%
15°C
$0 交易量
18%
16°C
$0 交易量
18%
17°C
$0 交易量
18%
18°C
$0 交易量
24%
19°C
$12 交易量
31%
20°C
$0 交易量
19%
21°C
$0 交易量
18%
22°C
$0 交易量
18%
23°C
$15 交易量
2%
24°C or higher
$15 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance indicates a minimum of 19°C for London on July 28 under a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 29°C, following an early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C. Ensemble model spreads and minor variations in overnight cloud cover, wind, and boundary-layer mixing create tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes, explaining the near-even 36% market-implied probabilities. Clearer skies would favor slightly lower readings via enhanced radiational cooling, while any increase in humidity or light winds could hold minima near 20°C. Updated short-range runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
交易量
$69结束日期
2026-07-28市场开放时间
Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance indicates a minimum of 19°C for London on July 28 under a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 29°C, following an early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C. Ensemble model spreads and minor variations in overnight cloud cover, wind, and boundary-layer mixing create tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes, explaining the near-even 36% market-implied probabilities. Clearer skies would favor slightly lower readings via enhanced radiational cooling, while any increase in humidity or light winds could hold minima near 20°C. Updated short-range runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$69结束日期
2026-07-28市场开放时间
Jul 26, 2026, 6:30 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance indicates a minimum of 19°C for London on July 28 under a warm, settled pattern with daytime highs near 29°C, following an early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C. Ensemble model spreads and minor variations in overnight cloud cover, wind, and boundary-layer mixing create tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes, explaining the near-even 36% market-implied probabilities. Clearer skies would favor slightly lower readings via enhanced radiational cooling, while any increase in humidity or light winds could hold minima near 20°C. Updated short-range runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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