Current ensemble forecasts from major models show mild overnight conditions over London through July 31, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 16–17 °C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and light winds. Subtle differences between these leading outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any Atlantic moisture, which can shift the nocturnal minimum by 1 °C. Warmer-than-average July conditions have kept the 19 °C outcome in play, yet recent model runs have narrowed the distribution toward the lower teens. Updated Met Office and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日伦敦最低气温？
7月31日伦敦最低气温？
17°C 46%
16°C 36%
18°C 18%
15°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
36%
17°C
46%
18°C
18%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
17°C 46%
16°C 36%
18°C 18%
15°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
14°C或以下
$127 交易量
1%
15°C
$87 交易量
3%
16°C
$340 交易量
36%
17°C
$1,193 交易量
46%
18°C
$250 交易量
18%
19°C
$56 交易量
2%
20°C
$106 交易量
<1%
21°C
$76 交易量
1%
22°C
$65 交易量
<1%
23°C
$65 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$65 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models show mild overnight conditions over London through July 31, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 16–17 °C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and light winds. Subtle differences between these leading outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any Atlantic moisture, which can shift the nocturnal minimum by 1 °C. Warmer-than-average July conditions have kept the 19 °C outcome in play, yet recent model runs have narrowed the distribution toward the lower teens. Updated Met Office and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,428结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models show mild overnight conditions over London through July 31, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 16–17 °C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and light winds. Subtle differences between these leading outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any Atlantic moisture, which can shift the nocturnal minimum by 1 °C. Warmer-than-average July conditions have kept the 19 °C outcome in play, yet recent model runs have narrowed the distribution toward the lower teens. Updated Met Office and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,428结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from major models show mild overnight conditions over London through July 31, with minimum temperatures most likely settling near 16–17 °C amid a weakening high-pressure ridge and light winds. Subtle differences between these leading outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise arrival of any Atlantic moisture, which can shift the nocturnal minimum by 1 °C. Warmer-than-average July conditions have kept the 19 °C outcome in play, yet recent model runs have narrowed the distribution toward the lower teens. Updated Met Office and ECMWF guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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