Latest forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on July 13, with limited radiational cooling expected under a warm, humid air mass and light southerly flow. High dew points near 65°F and possible residual cloud cover from upstream convection are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with the recent early-July heat pattern that produced a 74-75°F minimum on July 9. Traders assign the highest implied probability (30%) to the 70-71°F band because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any clearing can shift the exact minimum across the tightly grouped 66-73°F outcomes, while climatological averages near 68°F provide historical context for the current elevated readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月13日纽约市最低气温？
7月13日纽约市最低气温？
72-73°F 97.6%
70-71°F 1.3%
64-65°F <1%
59°F或以下 <1%
$11,630 交易量
$11,630 交易量
2026-07-13
59°F或以下
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
98%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F或更高
<1%
72-73°F 97.6%
70-71°F 1.3%
64-65°F <1%
59°F或以下 <1%
$11,630 交易量
$11,630 交易量
2026-07-13
59°F或以下
$566 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$747 交易量
<1%
62-63°F
$689 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,116 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,034 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$1,149 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$1,038 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$2,080 交易量
98%
74-75°F
$2,047 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$684 交易量
<1%
78°F或更高
$482 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on July 13, with limited radiational cooling expected under a warm, humid air mass and light southerly flow. High dew points near 65°F and possible residual cloud cover from upstream convection are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with the recent early-July heat pattern that produced a 74-75°F minimum on July 9. Traders assign the highest implied probability (30%) to the 70-71°F band because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any clearing can shift the exact minimum across the tightly grouped 66-73°F outcomes, while climatological averages near 68°F provide historical context for the current elevated readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
交易量
$11,630结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on July 13, with limited radiational cooling expected under a warm, humid air mass and light southerly flow. High dew points near 65°F and possible residual cloud cover from upstream convection are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with the recent early-July heat pattern that produced a 74-75°F minimum on July 9. Traders assign the highest implied probability (30%) to the 70-71°F band because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any clearing can shift the exact minimum across the tightly grouped 66-73°F outcomes, while climatological averages near 68°F provide historical context for the current elevated readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,630结束日期
2026-07-13市场开放时间
Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ETLatest forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to an overnight low in the upper 60s to low 70s for New York City on July 13, with limited radiational cooling expected under a warm, humid air mass and light southerly flow. High dew points near 65°F and possible residual cloud cover from upstream convection are suppressing temperature drops, consistent with the recent early-July heat pattern that produced a 74-75°F minimum on July 9. Traders assign the highest implied probability (30%) to the 70-71°F band because small variations in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or timing of any clearing can shift the exact minimum across the tightly grouped 66-73°F outcomes, while climatological averages near 68°F provide historical context for the current elevated readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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