Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France indicate Paris remains under a heatwave pattern through July 9, with daytime highs near 35°C and overnight lows likely holding around 20°C amid persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 19–22°C range over typical early-July climatological values of 14–17°C, explaining elevated market-implied probabilities clustered between 18°C and 25°C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential northwest flow shifts or clearer nights that could allow brief dips toward 18°C, while stronger high-pressure persistence would keep readings above 20°C. Traders are weighting these variables against historical analogs of heatwave minima, with fresh ensemble updates from European and global models expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Paris on July 9?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 9?
20°C 39%
21°C 26%
19°C 21%
18°C or below 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-09
18°C or below
11%
19°C
21%
20°C
39%
21°C
22%
22°C
6%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
20°C 39%
21°C 26%
19°C 21%
18°C or below 11%
最新
最新
2026-07-09
18°C or below
$8 交易量
11%
19°C
$0 交易量
21%
20°C
$1,563 交易量
39%
21°C
$13 交易量
22%
22°C
$0 交易量
6%
23°C
$0 交易量
5%
24°C
$255 交易量
1%
25°C
$91 交易量
<1%
26°C
$157 交易量
<1%
27°C
$527 交易量
1%
28°C or higher
$22 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France indicate Paris remains under a heatwave pattern through July 9, with daytime highs near 35°C and overnight lows likely holding around 20°C amid persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 19–22°C range over typical early-July climatological values of 14–17°C, explaining elevated market-implied probabilities clustered between 18°C and 25°C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential northwest flow shifts or clearer nights that could allow brief dips toward 18°C, while stronger high-pressure persistence would keep readings above 20°C. Traders are weighting these variables against historical analogs of heatwave minima, with fresh ensemble updates from European and global models expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,634结束日期
2026-07-09市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France indicate Paris remains under a heatwave pattern through July 9, with daytime highs near 35°C and overnight lows likely holding around 20°C amid persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 19–22°C range over typical early-July climatological values of 14–17°C, explaining elevated market-implied probabilities clustered between 18°C and 25°C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential northwest flow shifts or clearer nights that could allow brief dips toward 18°C, while stronger high-pressure persistence would keep readings above 20°C. Traders are weighting these variables against historical analogs of heatwave minima, with fresh ensemble updates from European and global models expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,634结束日期
2026-07-09市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from Météo-France indicate Paris remains under a heatwave pattern through July 9, with daytime highs near 35°C and overnight lows likely holding around 20°C amid persistent warm advection and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 19–22°C range over typical early-July climatological values of 14–17°C, explaining elevated market-implied probabilities clustered between 18°C and 25°C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from potential northwest flow shifts or clearer nights that could allow brief dips toward 18°C, while stronger high-pressure persistence would keep readings above 20°C. Traders are weighting these variables against historical analogs of heatwave minima, with fresh ensemble updates from European and global models expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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