Trader consensus on Polymarket prices just a 22% implied probability for Valve announcing a new Half-Life game by June 30, 2026, reflecting deep skepticism born from the publisher's infamous radio silence since Half-Life: Alyx in 2020, despite recurring leaks like the HLX codename surfacing in recent Counter-Strike 2 datamining and a Valve artist's vague podcast allusion to an active project. Late 2025 hype around The Game Awards and Steam Machine hardware fizzled without confirmation, as Valve prioritizes live-service hits like CS2 and Deadlock amid its flat organizational structure. No credible developments have emerged in the past 30 days, underscoring unfulfilled rumor cycles; key catalysts include Summer Game Fest in early June and Gamescom, where a trailer reveal could dramatically shift frontrunner odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于新的Half-Life游戏由... ？
新的Half-Life游戏由... ？
$16,356 交易量
2026-06-30
2026年6月30日
21%
$16,356 交易量
2026年6月30日
$4,191 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices just a 22% implied probability for Valve announcing a new Half-Life game by June 30, 2026, reflecting deep skepticism born from the publisher's infamous radio silence since Half-Life: Alyx in 2020, despite recurring leaks like the HLX codename surfacing in recent Counter-Strike 2 datamining and a Valve artist's vague podcast allusion to an active project. Late 2025 hype around The Game Awards and Steam Machine hardware fizzled without confirmation, as Valve prioritizes live-service hits like CS2 and Deadlock amid its flat organizational structure. No credible developments have emerged in the past 30 days, underscoring unfulfilled rumor cycles; key catalysts include Summer Game Fest in early June and Gamescom, where a trailer reveal could dramatically shift frontrunner odds.
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ET
交易量
$16,356结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices just a 22% implied probability for Valve announcing a new Half-Life game by June 30, 2026, reflecting deep skepticism born from the publisher's infamous radio silence since Half-Life: Alyx in 2020, despite recurring leaks like the HLX codename surfacing in recent Counter-Strike 2 datamining and a Valve artist's vague podcast allusion to an active project. Late 2025 hype around The Game Awards and Steam Machine hardware fizzled without confirmation, as Valve prioritizes live-service hits like CS2 and Deadlock amid its flat organizational structure. No credible developments have emerged in the past 30 days, underscoring unfulfilled rumor cycles; key catalysts include Summer Game Fest in early June and Gamescom, where a trailer reveal could dramatically shift frontrunner odds.
This market will resolve to if Valve publicly and explicitly announces that a new Half-Life game is in production by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the game must be explicitly acknowledged by Valve to be an installment of the Half-Life franchise or have the words "Half-Life" in the title. Updates to and expansion packs for already-released games will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". An announcement by Valve of a new qualifying game before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced game becomes available to the public.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve or a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$16,356结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Nov 20, 2025, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices just a 22% implied probability for Valve announcing a new Half-Life game by June 30, 2026, reflecting deep skepticism born from the publisher's infamous radio silence since Half-Life: Alyx in 2020, despite recurring leaks like the HLX codename surfacing in recent Counter-Strike 2 datamining and a Valve artist's vague podcast allusion to an active project. Late 2025 hype around The Game Awards and Steam Machine hardware fizzled without confirmation, as Valve prioritizes live-service hits like CS2 and Deadlock amid its flat organizational structure. No credible developments have emerged in the past 30 days, underscoring unfulfilled rumor cycles; key catalysts include Summer Game Fest in early June and Gamescom, where a trailer reveal could dramatically shift frontrunner odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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