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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Politics·French Elections

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$23,209 交易量

2027-04-30
Polymarket

$23,209 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$3,570 交易量

73%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$375 交易量

44%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$784 交易量

37%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$95 交易量

32%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,022 交易量

18%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 交易量

21%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$348 交易量

19%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$200 交易量

13%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$494 交易量

11%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 交易量

11%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$102 交易量

10%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$428 交易量

10%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$55 交易量

9%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 交易量

14%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 交易量

8%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$1,059 交易量

7%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$66 交易量

6%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$136 交易量

6%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$988 交易量

5%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 交易量

23%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$61 交易量

5%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$460 交易量

4%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$1,047 交易量

4%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,048 交易量

3%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$126 交易量

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$929 交易量

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,849 交易量

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 交易量

3%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$892 交易量

2%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,520 交易量

2%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,690 交易量

2%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$551 交易量

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$973 交易量

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$668 交易量

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,082 交易量

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 交易量

28%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$23,209
结束日期
2027-04-30
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
交易量
$23,209
结束日期
2027-04-30
市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 36 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Jordan Bardella"，概率为 73%，其次是"Édouard Philippe"，概率为 44%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 73¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 73%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"已产生 $23.2K 的总交易量（自Jun 1, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 36 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"的当前领先者是"Jordan Bardella"，概率为 73%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 73%。紧随其后的结果是"Édouard Philippe"，概率为 44%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。