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icon for 南达科他州共和党参议院初选获胜者
选举·参议院初选

南达科他州共和党参议院初选获胜者

icon for 南达科他州共和党参议院初选获胜者
选举·参议院初选

南达科他州共和党参议院初选获胜者

迈克·朗兹 95.9%

贾斯汀·麦克尼尔 2.6%

克里斯蒂·诺姆 1.8%

Polymarket

$21,964 交易量

迈克·朗兹 95.9%

贾斯汀·麦克尼尔 2.6%

克里斯蒂·诺姆 1.8%

Polymarket

$21,964 交易量

迈克·朗兹

$5,577 交易量

96%

贾斯汀·麦克尼尔

$14,077 交易量

3%

克里斯蒂·诺姆

$2,309 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds commands trader consensus at 95.7% implied probability to win South Dakota's Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his strong polling lead—66% to Justin McNeal's 18% in the April Mason-Dixon survey—and historical incumbency advantages in low-turnout primaries. Limited challengers, with Navy veteran McNeal's grassroots campaign on debt reduction and term limits gaining minimal traction, solidify Rounds' position after candidate filing deadlines passed in April without high-profile entrants. Former Gov. Kristi Noem, recently dismissed from her DHS secretary role amid low approval, never entered the race, pricing her at 1.7%. Upsets could stem from scandals, late endorsements, or anti-incumbent turnout, though barriers remain high in this safe Republican seat.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$21,964
结束日期
2026-06-28
市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Rounds commands trader consensus at 95.7% implied probability to win South Dakota's Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his strong polling lead—66% to Justin McNeal's 18% in the April Mason-Dixon survey—and historical incumbency advantages in low-turnout primaries. Limited challengers, with Navy veteran McNeal's grassroots campaign on debt reduction and term limits gaining minimal traction, solidify Rounds' position after candidate filing deadlines passed in April without high-profile entrants. Former Gov. Kristi Noem, recently dismissed from her DHS secretary role amid low approval, never entered the race, pricing her at 1.7%. Upsets could stem from scandals, late endorsements, or anti-incumbent turnout, though barriers remain high in this safe Republican seat.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota.

If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$21,964
结束日期
2026-06-28
市场开放时间
Feb 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"南达科他州共和党参议院初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"迈克·朗兹"，概率为 96%，其次是"贾斯汀·麦克尼尔"，概率为 3%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 96¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 96%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"南达科他州共和党参议院初选获胜者"已产生 $22K 的总交易量（自Feb 25, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"南达科他州共和党参议院初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"南达科他州共和党参议院初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"迈克·朗兹"，概率为 96%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 96%。紧随其后的结果是"贾斯汀·麦克尼尔"，概率为 3%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"南达科他州共和党参议院初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。