Trader consensus favors N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas as the frontrunner at 53% implied probability for Oklahoma’s June 16 Democratic U.S. Senate primary, driven by her visible grassroots efforts and endorsements from groups like Next Gen Politics, despite a recent withdrawal by Organizing Okies. Jim Priest follows at 26%, bolstered by his profile as a civil rights lawyer, ordained minister, and nonprofit leader who entered the race in January. Troy Green garners 13.5% leveraging his entrepreneur background and foster care origins, while Rebekah LaVann trails at 2.4% after filing to terminate her campaign. Absent public polls in this low-profile race, odds reflect skin-in-the-game assessments ahead of early voting and the primary.