Recent statements from sources close to Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito indicate neither plans to retire during 2026, a key factor supporting the 67.5% trader consensus on no vacancy. Alito has already hired law clerks for the 2027 term, signaling continuity on the bench. With the court’s two oldest members at 77 and 76, speculation has centered on potential strategic timing ahead of the November midterms and Senate control, yet official signals and clerk hiring patterns point to stability through year-end. Traders weigh these signals against the possibility of unforeseen health or personal developments that could still prompt a resignation before December 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent statements from sources close to Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito indicate neither plans to retire during 2026, a key factor supporting the 67.5% trader consensus on no vacancy. Alito has already hired law clerks for the 2027 term, signaling continuity on the bench. With the court’s two oldest members at 77 and 76, speculation has centered on potential strategic timing ahead of the November midterms and Senate control, yet official signals and clerk hiring patterns point to stability through year-end. Traders weigh these signals against the possibility of unforeseen health or personal developments that could still prompt a resignation before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ET
交易量
$4,522结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent statements from sources close to Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito indicate neither plans to retire during 2026, a key factor supporting the 67.5% trader consensus on no vacancy. Alito has already hired law clerks for the 2027 term, signaling continuity on the bench. With the court’s two oldest members at 77 and 76, speculation has centered on potential strategic timing ahead of the November midterms and Senate control, yet official signals and clerk hiring patterns point to stability through year-end. Traders weigh these signals against the possibility of unforeseen health or personal developments that could still prompt a resignation before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$4,522结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent statements from sources close to Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito indicate neither plans to retire during 2026, a key factor supporting the 67.5% trader consensus on no vacancy. Alito has already hired law clerks for the 2027 term, signaling continuity on the bench. With the court’s two oldest members at 77 and 76, speculation has centered on potential strategic timing ahead of the November midterms and Senate control, yet official signals and clerk hiring patterns point to stability through year-end. Traders weigh these signals against the possibility of unforeseen health or personal developments that could still prompt a resignation before December 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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