Trump remains actively engaged in his second term as of mid-2026, issuing executive orders, participating in international summits such as the G7, and directing foreign policy actions without any verified signals of intent to step down. Republican congressional majorities have consistently blocked impeachment resolutions, consistent with the high threshold for removal under the Constitution. No acute health, legal, or political developments have emerged that would plausibly trigger resignation before the end of 2026, aligning with the structural reality that his term extends to January 2029. Trader consensus at 93.5% for "No" reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of near-term catalysts capable of shifting outcomes within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$497,861 交易量
$497,861 交易量
$497,861 交易量
$497,861 交易量
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trump remains actively engaged in his second term as of mid-2026, issuing executive orders, participating in international summits such as the G7, and directing foreign policy actions without any verified signals of intent to step down. Republican congressional majorities have consistently blocked impeachment resolutions, consistent with the high threshold for removal under the Constitution. No acute health, legal, or political developments have emerged that would plausibly trigger resignation before the end of 2026, aligning with the structural reality that his term extends to January 2029. Trader consensus at 93.5% for "No" reflects these institutional barriers and the absence of near-term catalysts capable of shifting outcomes within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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