President Trump's implied probability of resigning before 2027 remains overwhelmingly low at 5.5% "Yes," as traders see no verified catalysts like health crises, impeachment proceedings, or party pressures compelling voluntary departure during his second term ending in 2029. Recent administration turnover—including U.S. Border Patrol Chief Michael Banks' resignation on May 14 amid immigration crackdowns, FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's exit on May 12 after clashes with industry leaders, and prior departures like Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer in April—signals internal frictions but bolsters Trump's image as a decisive leader pushing executive actions. Absent official statements or scandals, and with reports of active diplomacy like recent Beijing deals, consensus reflects historical rarity of presidential resignations outside extraordinary circumstances, though 2026 midterms could introduce volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$17,430 交易量
$17,430 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$17,430 交易量
$17,430 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's implied probability of resigning before 2027 remains overwhelmingly low at 5.5% "Yes," as traders see no verified catalysts like health crises, impeachment proceedings, or party pressures compelling voluntary departure during his second term ending in 2029. Recent administration turnover—including U.S. Border Patrol Chief Michael Banks' resignation on May 14 amid immigration crackdowns, FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's exit on May 12 after clashes with industry leaders, and prior departures like Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer in April—signals internal frictions but bolsters Trump's image as a decisive leader pushing executive actions. Absent official statements or scandals, and with reports of active diplomacy like recent Beijing deals, consensus reflects historical rarity of presidential resignations outside extraordinary circumstances, though 2026 midterms could introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
交易量
$17,430结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's implied probability of resigning before 2027 remains overwhelmingly low at 5.5% "Yes," as traders see no verified catalysts like health crises, impeachment proceedings, or party pressures compelling voluntary departure during his second term ending in 2029. Recent administration turnover—including U.S. Border Patrol Chief Michael Banks' resignation on May 14 amid immigration crackdowns, FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's exit on May 12 after clashes with industry leaders, and prior departures like Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer in April—signals internal frictions but bolsters Trump's image as a decisive leader pushing executive actions. Absent official statements or scandals, and with reports of active diplomacy like recent Beijing deals, consensus reflects historical rarity of presidential resignations outside extraordinary circumstances, though 2026 midterms could introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$17,430结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's implied probability of resigning before 2027 remains overwhelmingly low at 5.5% "Yes," as traders see no verified catalysts like health crises, impeachment proceedings, or party pressures compelling voluntary departure during his second term ending in 2029. Recent administration turnover—including U.S. Border Patrol Chief Michael Banks' resignation on May 14 amid immigration crackdowns, FDA Commissioner Marty Makary's exit on May 12 after clashes with industry leaders, and prior departures like Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer in April—signals internal frictions but bolsters Trump's image as a decisive leader pushing executive actions. Absent official statements or scandals, and with reports of active diplomacy like recent Beijing deals, consensus reflects historical rarity of presidential resignations outside extraordinary circumstances, though 2026 midterms could introduce volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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