Ukraine's government under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy maintains firm institutional control amid the ongoing conflict with Russia, supported by martial law provisions that have postponed elections and unified major political actors around national defense priorities. Recent assessments highlight battlefield stabilization, with Ukrainian forces slowing Russian advances and securing incremental territorial gains in April 2026, alongside continued Western financial and military assistance that bolsters fiscal resilience. These factors have produced no verifiable signs of elite fractures, military dissent, or public unrest capable of enabling a coup attempt before the June 30 resolution date. Traders assign 97.2 percent probability to no such event occurring because the current wartime consensus and external backing create significant structural barriers. Only abrupt leadership incapacity or a sharp reversal in frontline conditions could realistically introduce new uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$12,266 交易量
$12,266 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$12,266 交易量
$12,266 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's government under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy maintains firm institutional control amid the ongoing conflict with Russia, supported by martial law provisions that have postponed elections and unified major political actors around national defense priorities. Recent assessments highlight battlefield stabilization, with Ukrainian forces slowing Russian advances and securing incremental territorial gains in April 2026, alongside continued Western financial and military assistance that bolsters fiscal resilience. These factors have produced no verifiable signs of elite fractures, military dissent, or public unrest capable of enabling a coup attempt before the June 30 resolution date. Traders assign 97.2 percent probability to no such event occurring because the current wartime consensus and external backing create significant structural barriers. Only abrupt leadership incapacity or a sharp reversal in frontline conditions could realistically introduce new uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
交易量
$12,266结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's government under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy maintains firm institutional control amid the ongoing conflict with Russia, supported by martial law provisions that have postponed elections and unified major political actors around national defense priorities. Recent assessments highlight battlefield stabilization, with Ukrainian forces slowing Russian advances and securing incremental territorial gains in April 2026, alongside continued Western financial and military assistance that bolsters fiscal resilience. These factors have produced no verifiable signs of elite fractures, military dissent, or public unrest capable of enabling a coup attempt before the June 30 resolution date. Traders assign 97.2 percent probability to no such event occurring because the current wartime consensus and external backing create significant structural barriers. Only abrupt leadership incapacity or a sharp reversal in frontline conditions could realistically introduce new uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$12,266结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's government under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy maintains firm institutional control amid the ongoing conflict with Russia, supported by martial law provisions that have postponed elections and unified major political actors around national defense priorities. Recent assessments highlight battlefield stabilization, with Ukrainian forces slowing Russian advances and securing incremental territorial gains in April 2026, alongside continued Western financial and military assistance that bolsters fiscal resilience. These factors have produced no verifiable signs of elite fractures, military dissent, or public unrest capable of enabling a coup attempt before the June 30 resolution date. Traders assign 97.2 percent probability to no such event occurring because the current wartime consensus and external backing create significant structural barriers. Only abrupt leadership incapacity or a sharp reversal in frontline conditions could realistically introduce new uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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