Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 50% implied probability, driven by her strong critical reception, debut album *Visitor* charting at No. 9 on the Billboard 200, and status as a Grammy frontrunner with over a billion streams. CORTIS follows closely at 38% thanks to its dedicated fanbase, multi-nomination profile including Best K-Pop and Best Group, and consistent Spotify global chart presence. The remaining nominees—Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, Stella Lefty, Magnus Ferrell, and Bella Kay—trail significantly, reflecting limited crossover momentum or fan-voting scale. With fan voting continuing through the September 27 ceremony and Spiro confirmed to perform, late surges in social engagement or streaming spikes could narrow the gap in this fan-driven category.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年VMA最佳新人
2026年VMA最佳新人
Sienna Spiro 50%
Cortis 38%
Myles Smith 7.8%
马尔科姆·托德 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Sienna Spiro
50%
Cortis
38%
Myles Smith
8%
马尔科姆·托德
5%
Stella Lefty
5%
贝拉·凯
4%
Magnus Ferrell
4%
Sienna Spiro 50%
Cortis 38%
Myles Smith 7.8%
马尔科姆·托德 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Sienna Spiro
$20 交易量
50%
Cortis
$20 交易量
38%
Myles Smith
$6 交易量
8%
马尔科姆·托德
$1 交易量
5%
Stella Lefty
$0 交易量
5%
贝拉·凯
$21 交易量
4%
Magnus Ferrell
$40 交易量
4%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 50% implied probability, driven by her strong critical reception, debut album *Visitor* charting at No. 9 on the Billboard 200, and status as a Grammy frontrunner with over a billion streams. CORTIS follows closely at 38% thanks to its dedicated fanbase, multi-nomination profile including Best K-Pop and Best Group, and consistent Spotify global chart presence. The remaining nominees—Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, Stella Lefty, Magnus Ferrell, and Bella Kay—trail significantly, reflecting limited crossover momentum or fan-voting scale. With fan voting continuing through the September 27 ceremony and Spiro confirmed to perform, late surges in social engagement or streaming spikes could narrow the gap in this fan-driven category.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
交易量
$108结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 50% implied probability, driven by her strong critical reception, debut album *Visitor* charting at No. 9 on the Billboard 200, and status as a Grammy frontrunner with over a billion streams. CORTIS follows closely at 38% thanks to its dedicated fanbase, multi-nomination profile including Best K-Pop and Best Group, and consistent Spotify global chart presence. The remaining nominees—Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, Stella Lefty, Magnus Ferrell, and Bella Kay—trail significantly, reflecting limited crossover momentum or fan-voting scale. With fan voting continuing through the September 27 ceremony and Spiro confirmed to perform, late surges in social engagement or streaming spikes could narrow the gap in this fan-driven category.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$108结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETSienna Spiro holds the edge in the VMA Best New Artist market at 50% implied probability, driven by her strong critical reception, debut album *Visitor* charting at No. 9 on the Billboard 200, and status as a Grammy frontrunner with over a billion streams. CORTIS follows closely at 38% thanks to its dedicated fanbase, multi-nomination profile including Best K-Pop and Best Group, and consistent Spotify global chart presence. The remaining nominees—Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, Stella Lefty, Magnus Ferrell, and Bella Kay—trail significantly, reflecting limited crossover momentum or fan-voting scale. With fan voting continuing through the September 27 ceremony and Spiro confirmed to perform, late surges in social engagement or streaming spikes could narrow the gap in this fan-driven category.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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