Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano holds an overwhelming 87% market-implied probability for the #2 spot on this week’s U.S. Netflix charts, driven by the historic live MMA event that premiered on May 16. The high-profile matchup between two former combat-sports stars, backed by Jake Paul’s Most Valuable Promotions and featuring co-main events with Nate Diaz and Francis Ngannou, generated unprecedented pre-fight buzz and delivered strong real-time viewership as Netflix’s first major live sports card. In contrast, the true-crime docuseries Worst Ex Ever: Season 2 sits at a distant 9% after its early-May launch, while lower-ranked titles such as Nemesis and returning seasons of La Brea and Devil May Cry reflect steady but far less explosive performance. Traders are pricing in sustained momentum from the fight’s global promotion and highlight reels, with the week’s chart lock serving as the key resolution catalyst.