Recent NYC housing data shows modest price appreciation of 3-4% year-over-year through May 2026, supported by constrained inventory and resilient demand outside Manhattan, yet tempered by mortgage rates holding above 6% and affordability pressures. With the June 30 resolution imminent, trader sentiment clusters tightly between the $606k–$613k and $613k–$620k bins because monthly index readings have fluctuated narrowly amid stable but elevated borrowing costs and limited new supply. Key differentiators include the pace of outer-borough gains versus Manhattan softness, seasonal transaction volume, and any final revisions to indices such as Zillow ZHVI or Redfin medians, which could tip the outcome depending on whether late-spring sales data confirm continued 3%+ growth or signal a pause.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$606,000 - $613,000 40%
$613,000 - $620,000 38%
>62万美元 14%
$599,000 - $606,000 11%
$599,000 - $606,000
11%
低于58.5万美元
5%
$606,000 - $613,000
40%
$585,000 - $592,000
6%
$592,000 - $599,000
5%
$613,000 - $620,000
38%
>62万美元
14%
$606,000 - $613,000 40%
$613,000 - $620,000 38%
>62万美元 14%
$599,000 - $606,000 11%
$599,000 - $606,000
11%
低于58.5万美元
5%
$606,000 - $613,000
40%
$585,000 - $592,000
6%
$592,000 - $599,000
5%
$613,000 - $620,000
38%
>62万美元
14%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
市场开放时间: Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NYC housing data shows modest price appreciation of 3-4% year-over-year through May 2026, supported by constrained inventory and resilient demand outside Manhattan, yet tempered by mortgage rates holding above 6% and affordability pressures. With the June 30 resolution imminent, trader sentiment clusters tightly between the $606k–$613k and $613k–$620k bins because monthly index readings have fluctuated narrowly amid stable but elevated borrowing costs and limited new supply. Key differentiators include the pace of outer-borough gains versus Manhattan softness, seasonal transaction volume, and any final revisions to indices such as Zillow ZHVI or Redfin medians, which could tip the outcome depending on whether late-spring sales data confirm continued 3%+ growth or signal a pause.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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