Trader consensus in this closely contested Chicago median home value market clusters around the $339k–$345k range, reflecting modest near-term appreciation amid low inventory and steady demand. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down year-over-year, continue to support prices despite mortgage rates near 6%, while recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326k and Redfin median sale prices around $420k highlight methodological differences that inject uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution. Seasonal summer activity and any final May–June transaction data could shift implied probabilities across the narrow bins, underscoring how real-capital positioning aggregates views on housing fundamentals without guaranteeing outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于34.2万 - 34.5万美元 20%
339,000美元 - 342,000美元 16%
<$339k 12%
>354,000美元 11%
<$339k
12%
339,000美元 - 342,000美元
16%
34.2万 - 34.5万美元
20%
$345,000 - $348,000
9%
$348k - $351k
9%
$351k - $354k
7%
>354,000美元
11%
34.2万 - 34.5万美元 20%
339,000美元 - 342,000美元 16%
<$339k 12%
>354,000美元 11%
<$339k
12%
339,000美元 - 342,000美元
16%
34.2万 - 34.5万美元
20%
$345,000 - $348,000
9%
$348k - $351k
9%
$351k - $354k
7%
>354,000美元
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
市场开放时间: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this closely contested Chicago median home value market clusters around the $339k–$345k range, reflecting modest near-term appreciation amid low inventory and steady demand. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down year-over-year, continue to support prices despite mortgage rates near 6%, while recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326k and Redfin median sale prices around $420k highlight methodological differences that inject uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution. Seasonal summer activity and any final May–June transaction data could shift implied probabilities across the narrow bins, underscoring how real-capital positioning aggregates views on housing fundamentals without guaranteeing outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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