Recent data releases and market dynamics point to softening in the DC Metro housing market as the key driver behind the 67% implied probability on median home values below $554k by June 30. Elevated inventory levels, up sharply year-over-year, combined with longer days on market and softer buyer demand amid higher mortgage rates, have weighed on transaction prices across the metro area. February 2026 medians hovered near $585k with modest annual gains, but subsequent Redfin and Zillow indices reflect year-over-year declines of 3-5% in core segments, aligning with 2026 forecasts for a roughly 1% regional dip tied to expanded listings and federal-sector caution. With resolution less than three weeks away, limited remaining catalysts and the observed price trajectory reinforce trader positioning around the lower outcome buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于低于$554,000 70%
$554,000 - $558,000 18%
$558,000 - $562,000 9%
566,000美元 - 570,000美元 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
低于$554,000
66%
$554,000 - $558,000
17%
$558,000 - $562,000
9%
$562,000 - $566,000
7%
566,000美元 - 570,000美元
9%
$570k - $572k
7%
>572,000美元
6%
低于$554,000 70%
$554,000 - $558,000 18%
$558,000 - $562,000 9%
566,000美元 - 570,000美元 9%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
低于$554,000
$444 交易量
66%
$554,000 - $558,000
$35 交易量
17%
$558,000 - $562,000
$61 交易量
9%
$562,000 - $566,000
$34 交易量
7%
566,000美元 - 570,000美元
$34 交易量
9%
$570k - $572k
$34 交易量
7%
>572,000美元
$59 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent data releases and market dynamics point to softening in the DC Metro housing market as the key driver behind the 67% implied probability on median home values below $554k by June 30. Elevated inventory levels, up sharply year-over-year, combined with longer days on market and softer buyer demand amid higher mortgage rates, have weighed on transaction prices across the metro area. February 2026 medians hovered near $585k with modest annual gains, but subsequent Redfin and Zillow indices reflect year-over-year declines of 3-5% in core segments, aligning with 2026 forecasts for a roughly 1% regional dip tied to expanded listings and federal-sector caution. With resolution less than three weeks away, limited remaining catalysts and the observed price trajectory reinforce trader positioning around the lower outcome buckets.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
交易量
$701结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent data releases and market dynamics point to softening in the DC Metro housing market as the key driver behind the 67% implied probability on median home values below $554k by June 30. Elevated inventory levels, up sharply year-over-year, combined with longer days on market and softer buyer demand amid higher mortgage rates, have weighed on transaction prices across the metro area. February 2026 medians hovered near $585k with modest annual gains, but subsequent Redfin and Zillow indices reflect year-over-year declines of 3-5% in core segments, aligning with 2026 forecasts for a roughly 1% regional dip tied to expanded listings and federal-sector caution. With resolution less than three weeks away, limited remaining catalysts and the observed price trajectory reinforce trader positioning around the lower outcome buckets.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
交易量
$701结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent data releases and market dynamics point to softening in the DC Metro housing market as the key driver behind the 67% implied probability on median home values below $554k by June 30. Elevated inventory levels, up sharply year-over-year, combined with longer days on market and softer buyer demand amid higher mortgage rates, have weighed on transaction prices across the metro area. February 2026 medians hovered near $585k with modest annual gains, but subsequent Redfin and Zillow indices reflect year-over-year declines of 3-5% in core segments, aligning with 2026 forecasts for a roughly 1% regional dip tied to expanded listings and federal-sector caution. With resolution less than three weeks away, limited remaining catalysts and the observed price trajectory reinforce trader positioning around the lower outcome buckets.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题