Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Austin metro, near $495k as of late May 2026, anchor trader positioning, with the 43% implied probability on >$495k reflecting modest stabilization amid year-over-year declines of 3-6%. Elevated mortgage rates near 6%, elevated inventory exceeding 12,000 active listings, and longer days on market sustain downward pressure on valuations, supporting the 26% chance assigned to <$481k. Persistent buyer affordability constraints and insurance cost increases reinforce a buyer's market dynamic, while any near-term Fed easing could lift the lower-probability bands around $487k-$495k.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于>$495k 50%
低于48.1万美元 31%
$481,000 - $484,000 10%
$493,000 - $495,000 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
$481,000 - $484,000
15%
$484,000 - $487,000
10%
$493,000 - $495,000
13%
$490,000 - $493,000
14%
>$495k
37%
$487,000 - $490,000
12%
低于48.1万美元
34%
>$495k 50%
低于48.1万美元 31%
$481,000 - $484,000 10%
$493,000 - $495,000 10%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
$481,000 - $484,000
$139 交易量
15%
$484,000 - $487,000
$173 交易量
10%
$493,000 - $495,000
$149 交易量
13%
$490,000 - $493,000
$123 交易量
14%
>$495k
$400 交易量
37%
$487,000 - $490,000
$144 交易量
12%
低于48.1万美元
$398 交易量
34%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Austin metro, near $495k as of late May 2026, anchor trader positioning, with the 43% implied probability on >$495k reflecting modest stabilization amid year-over-year declines of 3-6%. Elevated mortgage rates near 6%, elevated inventory exceeding 12,000 active listings, and longer days on market sustain downward pressure on valuations, supporting the 26% chance assigned to <$481k. Persistent buyer affordability constraints and insurance cost increases reinforce a buyer's market dynamic, while any near-term Fed easing could lift the lower-probability bands around $487k-$495k.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
交易量
$1,528结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Austin metro, near $495k as of late May 2026, anchor trader positioning, with the 43% implied probability on >$495k reflecting modest stabilization amid year-over-year declines of 3-6%. Elevated mortgage rates near 6%, elevated inventory exceeding 12,000 active listings, and longer days on market sustain downward pressure on valuations, supporting the 26% chance assigned to <$481k. Persistent buyer affordability constraints and insurance cost increases reinforce a buyer's market dynamic, while any near-term Fed easing could lift the lower-probability bands around $487k-$495k.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)
交易量
$1,528结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings for the Austin metro, near $495k as of late May 2026, anchor trader positioning, with the 43% implied probability on >$495k reflecting modest stabilization amid year-over-year declines of 3-6%. Elevated mortgage rates near 6%, elevated inventory exceeding 12,000 active listings, and longer days on market sustain downward pressure on valuations, supporting the 26% chance assigned to <$481k. Persistent buyer affordability constraints and insurance cost increases reinforce a buyer's market dynamic, while any near-term Fed easing could lift the lower-probability bands around $487k-$495k.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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