Brazil's central bank cut its benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.50% at the late-April Copom meeting, extending a cautious easing cycle amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor market conditions. Market-implied odds favor another reduction in June because inflation expectations for 2026 remain elevated near 4.9% while external uncertainties from Middle East oil shocks have prompted data-dependent guidance rather than a prolonged pause. Traders price in this path as the monetary authority balances above-target IPCA prints against the need to support demand without accelerating price pressures, consistent with economist surveys projecting further quarter-point moves ahead of the mid-June decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于下调 76%
无变化 23.8%
提高 <1%
$140,225 交易量
$140,225 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
1%
无变化
24%
下调
76%
下调 76%
无变化 23.8%
提高 <1%
$140,225 交易量
$140,225 交易量
2026-06-16
提高
$41,318 交易量
1%
无变化
$36,465 交易量
24%
下调
$62,442 交易量
76%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil's central bank cut its benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.50% at the late-April Copom meeting, extending a cautious easing cycle amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor market conditions. Market-implied odds favor another reduction in June because inflation expectations for 2026 remain elevated near 4.9% while external uncertainties from Middle East oil shocks have prompted data-dependent guidance rather than a prolonged pause. Traders price in this path as the monetary authority balances above-target IPCA prints against the need to support demand without accelerating price pressures, consistent with economist surveys projecting further quarter-point moves ahead of the mid-June decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
交易量
$140,225结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Brazil's central bank cut its benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.50% at the late-April Copom meeting, extending a cautious easing cycle amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor market conditions. Market-implied odds favor another reduction in June because inflation expectations for 2026 remain elevated near 4.9% while external uncertainties from Middle East oil shocks have prompted data-dependent guidance rather than a prolonged pause. Traders price in this path as the monetary authority balances above-target IPCA prints against the need to support demand without accelerating price pressures, consistent with economist surveys projecting further quarter-point moves ahead of the mid-June decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$140,225结束日期
2026-06-16市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brazil's central bank cut its benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis points to 14.50% at the late-April Copom meeting, extending a cautious easing cycle amid moderating GDP growth and resilient yet softening labor market conditions. Market-implied odds favor another reduction in June because inflation expectations for 2026 remain elevated near 4.9% while external uncertainties from Middle East oil shocks have prompted data-dependent guidance rather than a prolonged pause. Traders price in this path as the monetary authority balances above-target IPCA prints against the need to support demand without accelerating price pressures, consistent with economist surveys projecting further quarter-point moves ahead of the mid-June decision.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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