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Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

icon for Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

最新
2026-12-31
Polymarket

$4,401 交易量

Polymarket

9月30日

$825 交易量

6%

December 31

$1,292 交易量

25%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republican control of Congress has enabled two reconciliation packages since 2025—the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025 and the Secure America Act signed in June 2026—but prospects for a third bill remain uncertain. Senate appropriators including Mitch McConnell have stated that another package is “not an option,” citing narrow majorities, Byrd Rule limits on non-budget provisions, and the need to address defense priorities through regular appropriations. House Republicans continue discussing options for additional spending or cuts before the November 2026 midterms, yet attention has shifted toward year-end funding measures and electoral positioning. Any further reconciliation effort would require a new budget resolution and face tight timelines before the lame-duck period.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$4,401
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Republican control of Congress has enabled two reconciliation packages since 2025—the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025 and the Secure America Act signed in June 2026—but prospects for a third bill remain uncertain. Senate appropriators including Mitch McConnell have stated that another package is “not an option,” citing narrow majorities, Byrd Rule limits on non-budget provisions, and the need to address defense priorities through regular appropriations. House Republicans continue discussing options for additional spending or cuts before the November 2026 midterms, yet attention has shifted toward year-end funding measures and electoral positioning. Any further reconciliation effort would require a new budget resolution and face tight timelines before the lame-duck period.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$4,401
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"December 31",概率为 25%,其次是"9月30日",概率为 6%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 25¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 25%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 26, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?"的当前领先者是"December 31",概率为 25%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 25%。紧随其后的结果是"9月30日",概率为 6%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。