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icon for 特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗？

特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗？

icon for 特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗？

特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗？

$41,602 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$41,602 交易量

Polymarket

6月30日

$33,678 交易量

67%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Mobile’s long-delayed T1 smartphone is finally set to begin shipping this week, according to multiple confirmations from the company and its CEO on May 13–15, 2026. After announcing the gold-toned device and $100 pre-order deposits from hundreds of thousands of customers in June 2025, the brand repeatedly pushed back the original August 2025 launch through winter and spring due to production setbacks. The latest update that units are arriving and will ship in the order received provides the clearest signal yet that an official release is imminent. Traders tracking the Polymarket resolution criteria for any phone model by June 30 are likely focused on this momentum shift, as the company has now moved from vague timelines to concrete fulfillment activity. No major new obstacles have surfaced in the past week.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify.

Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$41,602
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 2:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Mobile’s long-delayed T1 smartphone is finally set to begin shipping this week, according to multiple confirmations from the company and its CEO on May 13–15, 2026. After announcing the gold-toned device and $100 pre-order deposits from hundreds of thousands of customers in June 2025, the brand repeatedly pushed back the original August 2025 launch through winter and spring due to production setbacks. The latest update that units are arriving and will ship in the order received provides the clearest signal yet that an official release is imminent. Traders tracking the Polymarket resolution criteria for any phone model by June 30 are likely focused on this momentum shift, as the company has now moved from vague timelines to concrete fulfillment activity. No major new obstacles have surfaced in the past week.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify.

Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$41,602
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 2:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"6月30日"，概率为 67%，其次是"4月30日"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 67¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 67%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗？"已产生 $41.6K 的总交易量（自Mar 27, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗？"的当前领先者是"6月30日"，概率为 67%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 67%。紧随其后的结果是"4月30日"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"特朗普手机会在……之前发布手机吗？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。