Recent qualification results position the play-off survivors—Türkiye, Czechia, Sweden, and Bosnia and Herzegovina—alongside Norway and Switzerland as the primary candidates for the weakest UEFA finish at the expanded 2026 World Cup. These sides advanced through high-stakes March shootouts and narrow victories after inconsistent Nations League and qualifier campaigns, leaving them with limited preparation time and thinner squads compared to direct group winners like France or England. Early group-stage fixtures have already highlighted vulnerabilities for several of these teams against stronger non-European opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around their lower table projections. Stronger UEFA nations carry negligible implied probabilities of finishing last due to superior depth and historical consistency in major tournaments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Norway 29%
Czechia 26%
Switzerland 23.6%
Austria 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
Austria
12%
Belgium
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9%
Croatia
7%
Czechia
22%
England
2%
France
5%
Germany
1%
Netherlands
2%
Norway
29%
Portugal
5%
Scotland
5%
Spain
1%
Sweden
4%
Switzerland
24%
Türkiye
30%
Norway 29%
Czechia 26%
Switzerland 23.6%
Austria 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
Austria
$251 交易量
12%
Belgium
$68 交易量
4%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
$283 交易量
9%
Croatia
$163 交易量
7%
Czechia
$265 交易量
22%
England
$358 交易量
2%
France
$18 交易量
5%
Germany
$300 交易量
1%
Netherlands
$127 交易量
2%
Norway
$137 交易量
29%
Portugal
$11 交易量
5%
Scotland
$409 交易量
5%
Spain
$148 交易量
1%
Sweden
$1,084 交易量
4%
Switzerland
$117 交易量
24%
Türkiye
$207 交易量
30%
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent qualification results position the play-off survivors—Türkiye, Czechia, Sweden, and Bosnia and Herzegovina—alongside Norway and Switzerland as the primary candidates for the weakest UEFA finish at the expanded 2026 World Cup. These sides advanced through high-stakes March shootouts and narrow victories after inconsistent Nations League and qualifier campaigns, leaving them with limited preparation time and thinner squads compared to direct group winners like France or England. Early group-stage fixtures have already highlighted vulnerabilities for several of these teams against stronger non-European opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around their lower table projections. Stronger UEFA nations carry negligible implied probabilities of finishing last due to superior depth and historical consistency in major tournaments.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
交易量
$3,938结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent qualification results position the play-off survivors—Türkiye, Czechia, Sweden, and Bosnia and Herzegovina—alongside Norway and Switzerland as the primary candidates for the weakest UEFA finish at the expanded 2026 World Cup. These sides advanced through high-stakes March shootouts and narrow victories after inconsistent Nations League and qualifier campaigns, leaving them with limited preparation time and thinner squads compared to direct group winners like France or England. Early group-stage fixtures have already highlighted vulnerabilities for several of these teams against stronger non-European opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around their lower table projections. Stronger UEFA nations carry negligible implied probabilities of finishing last due to superior depth and historical consistency in major tournaments.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,938结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent qualification results position the play-off survivors—Türkiye, Czechia, Sweden, and Bosnia and Herzegovina—alongside Norway and Switzerland as the primary candidates for the weakest UEFA finish at the expanded 2026 World Cup. These sides advanced through high-stakes March shootouts and narrow victories after inconsistent Nations League and qualifier campaigns, leaving them with limited preparation time and thinner squads compared to direct group winners like France or England. Early group-stage fixtures have already highlighted vulnerabilities for several of these teams against stronger non-European opponents, reinforcing trader consensus around their lower table projections. Stronger UEFA nations carry negligible implied probabilities of finishing last due to superior depth and historical consistency in major tournaments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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