Iran's superior FIFA ranking around 21st compared to New Zealand's 85th, coupled with an unbeaten head-to-head record (one win, one draw) and a dominant 5-0 friendly win over Costa Rica last month, drives trader consensus favoring IR Iran at 57.5% implied probability for their FIFA World Cup Group G opener at neutral SoFi Stadium. New Zealand's 30.5% reflects their competitive OFC qualification path and recent 4-1 FIFA Series victory against Chile, bolstered by yesterday's squad announcement naming injury-resilient striker Chris Wood as captain. However, Iran's probabilities tempered by winger Ali Gholizadeh's ACL tear on May 5, sidelining a key attacker; draw at 27% accounts for tight, low-scoring potential in this matchup against Group heavyweights Belgium and Egypt.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于If IR Iran wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
If IR Iran wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间: Apr 6, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Iran's superior FIFA ranking around 21st compared to New Zealand's 85th, coupled with an unbeaten head-to-head record (one win, one draw) and a dominant 5-0 friendly win over Costa Rica last month, drives trader consensus favoring IR Iran at 57.5% implied probability for their FIFA World Cup Group G opener at neutral SoFi Stadium. New Zealand's 30.5% reflects their competitive OFC qualification path and recent 4-1 FIFA Series victory against Chile, bolstered by yesterday's squad announcement naming injury-resilient striker Chris Wood as captain. However, Iran's probabilities tempered by winger Ali Gholizadeh's ACL tear on May 5, sidelining a key attacker; draw at 27% accounts for tight, low-scoring potential in this matchup against Group heavyweights Belgium and Egypt.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题