Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surpasses Gavin Newsom as 2028 Democratic favorite in prediction markets

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%5%

By August 12, 2026, Ocasio-Cortez overtook Gavin Newsom in prediction market odds for the 2028 Democratic nomination, reflecting her rising national profile and growing support among Democratic voters.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and fiancé end engagement

AOC's reported breakup with her fiancé brought personal news to the forefront, impacting her public image and market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez overtakes Gavin Newsom in prediction market odds for 2028 nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

Data from Polymarket showed Ocasio-Cortez surpassing Gavin Newsom in odds to win the 2028 Democratic nomination, reflecting shifting market sentiment and increased support for her candidacy.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces she is freezing her eggs amid political decisions

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

AOC publicly shared her decision to freeze her eggs while considering her political future, a personal revelation that attracted media attention and may have influenced her market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez reveals decision to freeze her eggs

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

AOC publicly shared her decision to freeze her eggs, highlighting personal and family planning challenges, which influenced public perception and her market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leaves door open for 2028 presidential or Senate run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

In an interview, Ocasio-Cortez stated she is focused on winning midterms but has not ruled out a 2028 presidential run or a Senate challenge, which helped stabilize and slightly increase her market position.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez does not rule out 2028 presidential run or Senate bid

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

In August 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez stated she has not ruled out running for president or Senate in 2028, maintaining her status as a leading progressive contender and contributing to her market rise.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says she hasn't ruled out 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 19%4%

In August 2026, Ocasio-Cortez publicly stated she has not ruled out running for president in 2028, supporting her rising market position and polling strength in early primary states.

Gavin Newsom campaigns in Michigan supporting Democrats and hints at 2028 run

Gavin Newsom dips to 16%2%

Newsom toured Michigan to support Democratic candidates and publicly acknowledged considering a 2028 presidential run after the midterms, maintaining his status as a top contender despite some market price decline.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leaves open 2028 presidential run or Senate challenge

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

In August 2026, Ocasio-Cortez stated she has not ruled out running for president or challenging Chuck Schumer for Senate, maintaining market interest and supporting her price rise.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces she is freezing her eggs while weighing 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly shared her decision to freeze her eggs as she contemplates her next political moves, including a potential 2028 presidential campaign. This personal announcement was linked to her advocacy on reproductive rights and increased her visibility as a candidate.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces freezing eggs amid 2028 run considerations

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 22%7%

On August 9, 2026, Ocasio-Cortez publicly announced she was freezing her eggs while weighing a potential 2028 presidential or Senate run. This personal and political announcement increased her visibility and market odds significantly, pushing her price from around 15% to 22%.

Gavin Newsom visits Michigan to boost Democrats and signal 2028 presidential ambitions

Gavin Newsom dips to 18%2%

In August 2026, Newsom toured Michigan, a key early primary state, to build political relationships and support Democratic candidates, reinforcing his front-runner status and maintaining his market odds around 18%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez declines to rule out 2028 presidential run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 18%3%

Ocasio-Cortez publicly left open the possibility of running for president in 2028 during interviews and appearances, which boosted her market price from 15% to 18%. This signaled growing support and speculation about her candidacy.

Pete Buttigieg speaks at Michigan Democrats rally amid false swatting incident

Pete Buttigieg actively engaged in political events such as the Michigan Democrats rally while managing fallout from a false swatting incident that temporarily separated him from his children, impacting his public image and candidacy prospects.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces freezing her eggs amid political decisions

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 20%6%

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez publicly announced she is freezing her eggs as she contemplates her political future, signaling a pause or reconsideration of a 2028 presidential run, which corresponded with a low market price.

Jon Ossoff's market price rises amid 2026 reelection campaign momentum

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%3%

Jon Ossoff's market price increased in August 2026 reflecting growing confidence in his 2026 Senate reelection prospects and potential 2028 presidential candidacy.

Pete Buttigieg to headline Michigan Democrats’ Detroit election rally

Buttigieg was announced as the headliner for a major Michigan Democratic rally, signaling his continued active role in party politics and potential 2028 candidacy.

Kamala Harris confirms she is 'thinking about' 2028 presidential run

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris publicly acknowledged she is considering a 2028 presidential campaign, marking her most open remarks about her political future and maintaining her position as a top contender.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 14%4%

A University of New Hampshire poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the pack of potential 2028 Democratic presidential nominees, reflecting her growing support in an early primary state.

Pete Buttigieg signals leaning toward 2028 presidential run

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Pete Buttigieg stated in August 2026 that he is 'more inclined than not' to run for president in 2028, marking his clearest indication yet of a potential campaign and influencing market perceptions of his chances.

Pete Buttigieg says he is leaning toward running for president in 2028

In a podcast interview, Pete Buttigieg expressed that he is 'more inclined than not' to run for president in 2028, signaling increased commitment and positively impacting his market position and polling numbers.

Pete Buttigieg signals inclination to run for president in 2028

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

In August 2026, Pete Buttigieg stated in a podcast interview that he was "more inclined than not" to run for president in 2028, which corresponded with a slight increase in his market odds from 4% to 5%.

Gavin Newsom raises significant funds for Democratic candidates in key 2026 races

Gavin Newsom raised substantial money for Democrats in important 2026 races, including for Jon Ossoff in Georgia and others, bolstering his standing within the party and supporting his 2028 presidential ambitions, though his market price showed some volatility.

Kamala Harris calls for major reforms including Supreme Court expansion ahead of possible 2028 run

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

Harris publicly endorsed progressive policies such as expanding the Supreme Court and abolishing the Electoral College, signaling a shift to a more left-leaning platform as she weighs a 2028 presidential campaign. Despite this, her market odds remained relatively flat.

Yahoo/YouGov poll shows Gavin Newsom surging to front of Democratic primary pack

A late August 2026 Yahoo/YouGov poll showed Gavin Newsom with 21% support among Democratic-leaning voters, slightly ahead of Kamala Harris, reinforcing his front-runner status despite market price declines.

Kamala Harris hints at 2028 presidential run with far-left message

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

At the National Urban League Conference, Harris suggested she is considering a 2028 run, maintaining her lead in many Democratic primary polls but facing skepticism about her electability and market position.

Pete Buttigieg campaigns for Democrats in key states ahead of 2026 midterms

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg actively campaigned for Democratic candidates in competitive states, maintaining his national profile and fueling speculation about a 2028 presidential run.

Andy Beshear hints at 2028 presidential run amid rising national profile

Andy Beshear rises to 3%1%

Beshear’s active role in 2026 midterms and public statements about considering a presidential run increased his visibility as a potential 2028 candidate.

Kamala Harris endorses progressive reforms amid 2028 speculation

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

Kamala Harris publicly supported expanding the Supreme Court and abolishing the Electoral College, signaling a shift to the left and reinforcing her position as a leading 2028 contender despite not formally declaring a run.

Pete Buttigieg leads latest Emerson College poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Pete Buttigieg rises to 6%1%

Buttigieg's poll lead reinforced his status as a top contender, contributing to a modest increase in his market price.

Jon Ossoff's Senate reelection campaign gains momentum in Georgia

Jon Ossoff rises to 13%1%

Ossoff's improving position in the 2026 Senate race increased his visibility but only modestly improved his market odds for the presidential nomination.

Gavin Newsom faces backlash over podcast featuring conservative guests

Gavin Newsom drops to 18%6%

Newsom's podcast hosting right-wing figures and controversial comments caused backlash within the Democratic Party, contributing to a decline in his market price from 24% to 18%.

Pete Buttigieg signals inclination to run for president in 2028

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Pete Buttigieg stated in a podcast interview that he is 'more inclined than not' to launch a 2028 presidential bid, marking a clear signal of his potential candidacy and boosting his market position.

Court documents reveal Trump administration's political targeting of Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom dips to 17%3%

Newly released federal court documents exposed that the Trump administration's immigration raid at a Gavin Newsom event was politically motivated, affecting Newsom's political standing and public perception ahead of 2028.

Gavin Newsom delays 2028 presidential announcement pending 2026 midterm results

Gavin Newsom drops to 17%7%

Newsom publicly stated he would consider a 2028 presidential run after the 2026 midterms, which initially supported his frontrunner status but later market prices declined as uncertainty grew.

Rahm Emanuel criticizes Democratic Party and tests 2028 presidential waters

Emanuel publicly criticized the Democratic Party's direction and increased media appearances, signaling his interest in a 2028 presidential bid and affecting his market perception.

Kamala Harris publicly signals consideration of 2028 presidential bid

Kamala Harris rises to 9%1%

In late July 2026, Kamala Harris stated she was "thinking about" running for president in 2028, maintaining her frontrunner status in polls and stabilizing her market position despite competition from rising candidates.

Kamala Harris announces she will not run for 2028 Democratic nomination

Kamala Harris dips to 6%3%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris publicly confirmed she would not seek the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, leading to a decline in her market price from 9% to 6% as traders adjusted expectations and her prospects diminished.

Kamala Harris officially secures Democratic presidential nomination

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Kamala Harris won enough delegate votes to become the official Democratic presidential nominee, solidifying her position despite lower market odds compared to some rivals.

Kamala Harris remains a key figure with ongoing 2028 presidential speculation

Despite her 2024 loss, Harris continues to be a prominent figure with some Democratic officials supporting her potential 2028 run, maintaining her market relevance.

Kamala Harris endorses Maine Democratic Senate candidate Troy Jackson after last-minute nomination

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Kamala Harris's endorsement of Troy Jackson on July 25, 2026, demonstrated her ongoing involvement in Democratic politics and maintained her visibility, though her market odds remained steady.

Kamala Harris signals potential 2028 run with public appearances and book tour

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Harris maintained steady polling and market support by engaging in public events and a book tour, reinforcing her position as a top contender despite no formal campaign announcement.

Kamala Harris announces she will not run for 2028 Democratic nomination

Kamala Harris dips to 6%3%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris publicly confirmed she would not seek the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, leading to a decline in her market price as traders adjusted expectations about her viability.

Gavin Newsom faces criticism over California's economic and social challenges

Gavin Newsom dips to 19%4%

Newsom faced scrutiny for California's high poverty and homelessness rates, which may have contributed to the decline in his market odds in mid-2026.

Pete Buttigieg signals potential 2028 presidential run in media appearances

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg, while campaigning for Democrats in early primary states, indicated he is considering a 2028 presidential bid, maintaining his status as a leading candidate in early polls.

Polling shows Josh Shapiro among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

New polling placed Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro among the leading Democratic contenders for 2028, highlighting his growing national recognition and potential candidacy.

Emerson poll includes Jon Ossoff as a top 2028 Democratic nominee choice

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%4%

The Emerson poll released July 23 included Jon Ossoff as a leading option for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the first time, showing him with 13% support. This reinforced his rising market price and speculation despite his public denials of running.

Emerson poll shows Jon Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%2%

An Emerson poll conducted July 19-20, 2026, showed Jon Ossoff receiving 13% support, tying with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and indicating his rising stature in the 2028 Democratic primary field.

Poll shows Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading 2028 Democratic field in New Hampshire

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 21%6%

A New Hampshire poll in late July showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the frontrunner among Democratic candidates, boosting her market price from 15% to 21% by early August.

Gavin Newsom publicly weighs 2028 presidential run after midterms

Gavin Newsom drops to 19%5%

Newsom's public statements about considering a 2028 presidential bid after the 2026 midterms increased his visibility and market interest, though his price declined slightly from earlier highs during the analysis window.

Jon Ossoff climbs to second place in 2028 Democratic nomination polls despite denial of candidacy

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%3%

Polling and market data in late July showed Ossoff rising to a strong second place in the 2028 Democratic nomination race, despite his public denials of running, pushing his market price to 15%.

Emerson College poll includes Jon Ossoff as top 2028 Democratic nominee choice

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%6%

The poll showed Ossoff with 13% support, boosting his market odds to 16% and reinforcing his rising prominence despite his public denials of a presidential run.

Polling shows Jon Ossoff among favorites for Democratic nomination in 2028

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%5%

Recent Emerson polling indicated strong support for Jon Ossoff, boosting his market price as a leading 2028 Democratic presidential nominee contender.

Emerson College poll shows Jon Ossoff tied for third in 2028 Democratic primary

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%2%

A new poll including Ossoff for the first time showed him tied with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez for third place, reflecting growing recognition and supporting his rising market price.

Poll shows Jon Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%4%

A July 2026 poll showed Jon Ossoff rising in support for the 2028 nomination, contributing to his market price increase despite his repeated denials of interest in running.

Poll shows Ossoff among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination despite denial

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%2%

An Emerson College poll included Ossoff as a top choice for the 2028 Democratic nominee for the first time, showing him tied with Ocasio-Cortez and above Kamala Harris, despite his repeated denials of running.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire Democratic poll for 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%7%

A University of New Hampshire poll showed Ocasio-Cortez narrowly leading the Democratic field, boosting her market price from 8% to 15%. This reflected growing progressive enthusiasm and her emergence as a party ideological leader.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez acknowledges possible 2028 presidential run amid rising poll numbers

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 15%1%

Ocasio-Cortez responded to polls placing her among top Democratic contenders for 2028 by saying she was "flattered" and has not ruled out a presidential bid. This fueled market optimism and increased her nomination odds.

Polls show Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez among top Democratic contenders for 2028 nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 15%1%

Recent polls placed Ocasio-Cortez as a leading contender for the Democratic presidential nomination, which corresponded with a rise in her market price and increased media attention.

Jon Ossoff ranks among favorites for 2028 Democratic nomination in new poll

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%3%

New polling placed Jon Ossoff among the top contenders for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, reflecting growing support despite his public reluctance to run.

Jon Ossoff rises in 2028 Democratic nomination polls after Georgia rally

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%9%

Following a rally in Georgia in July 2026, Jon Ossoff's polling numbers increased significantly, moving him into the top tier of Democratic contenders and improving his market odds for the nomination.

Pete Buttigieg leads Democratic 2028 presidential primary poll

Pete Buttigieg jumps to 19%14%

An Emerson College poll showed Pete Buttigieg leading the Democratic field for the 2028 presidential nomination, narrowly ahead of Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, boosting his market position.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez maintains openness to 2028 presidential run after leading poll

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 15%2%

Ocasio-Cortez declined to rule out a 2028 run following a poll showing her as the top Democratic pick, supporting her market price increase and media attention.

Jon Ossoff rises to second place in Democratic nomination polls despite denying 2028 run

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%6%

Polls released in late July showed Jon Ossoff climbing to second place in the Democratic primary field with 13-16% support, coinciding with his market price rising from 10% to 16%. Despite his denials of running, his growing popularity fueled market optimism about his chances.

Jon Ossoff emerges as new frontrunner for 2028 Democratic nomination in CNN polling

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%5%

CNN polling and increased Google search interest propelled Ossoff to near parity with Gavin Newsom, driving his market price from 11% to 16%.

CNN analyst declares Jon Ossoff a frontrunner for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 16%3%

CNN analyst Harry Enten highlighted Ossoff's rising profile and surging interest, coinciding with a 300% increase in Google searches and a climb in prediction markets, reinforcing his frontrunner status.

CNN analyst predicts Jon Ossoff could be 2028 Democratic nominee

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%6%

CNN analyst Harry Enten publicly suggested Jon Ossoff could become the Democratic nominee in 2028, highlighting his rising popularity and effective opposition to Trump. This media endorsement contributed to Ossoff's surge in market odds during July 2026.

Jon Ossoff surges in prediction markets and polling for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%13%

Senator Jon Ossoff's profile rose sharply due to viral campaign moments and strong fundraising, leading to increased odds and polling support for the 2028 nomination.

Jon Ossoff rises as a frontrunner in 2028 Democratic nomination polls and markets

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%10%

Jon Ossoff's profile surged in July 2026 with viral speeches and rising polling, despite his denials of running, causing his market price to climb from 6% to 16%.

CNN analyst names Jon Ossoff as potential 2028 Democratic nominee frontrunner

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%2%

CNN analyst Harry Enten highlighted Ossoff's rising popularity and potential as the 2028 Democratic nominee, coinciding with a surge in Google searches and market odds, boosting his perceived viability.

Criticism mounts over Kamala Harris's viability as 2028 nominee despite polling lead

Despite leading some polls, Kamala Harris faced growing criticism from commentators and donors questioning her electability and campaign effectiveness, which kept her market odds stagnant.

Jon Ossoff emerges as 2028 Democratic frontrunner in CNN polling

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%6%

CNN polling data showed Jon Ossoff surpassing Gavin Newsom as the leading Democratic contender for 2028, coinciding with a surge in Google searches and viral speeches, which boosted his market odds significantly.

Jon Ossoff surges as 2028 Democratic frontrunner in CNN polling and prediction markets

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%3%

CNN polling and prediction markets showed a surge in interest for Jon Ossoff as a leading 2028 Democratic contender, coinciding with a 300% increase in Google searches and rising market odds despite his denials of running.

Jon Ossoff emerges as a top contender despite denying 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%4%

In late July 2026, Jon Ossoff's profile surged with viral speeches and increased polling support, making him a leading contender in prediction markets even as he publicly denied plans to run for president in 2028.

CNN polling crowns Jon Ossoff as new frontrunner for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%4%

CNN polling data showed a surge in interest for Jon Ossoff, with Google searches up 300% and market odds climbing, marking him as a rising contender despite his public denials of running.

Jon Ossoff surges in polls and prediction markets as 2028 Democratic frontrunner

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%7%

Jon Ossoff's profile rose sharply due to viral campaign speeches and favorable polling, leading to a significant increase in his market odds and media recognition as a leading 2028 contender.

JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as 2028 Democratic nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

Republican JD Vance publicly predicted Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez would be the Democratic nominee in 2028, which sparked media attention and boosted her market price from 9% to 14%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez emerges as ideological leader and 2028 front-runner in New Hampshire poll

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 15%1%

A July 2026 poll in New Hampshire showed Ocasio-Cortez leading potential Democratic candidates with 22% support, affirming her status as a party ideological leader and boosting her market odds to 15%.

Democratic insiders say Kamala Harris is the 'fairly obvious' 2028 frontrunner despite challenges

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Despite her 2024 loss, Democratic aides suggested Harris remains the frontrunner due to name recognition and recent appearances, but her market price declined as she publicly ruled out running and faced skepticism.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez considered a top Democratic leader with 2028 front-runner status in New Hampshire poll

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 14%4%

A New Hampshire poll showed AOC leading potential Democratic candidates for 2028, solidifying her status as a party ideological leader and increasing market interest.

Jon Ossoff surges in prediction markets amid criticism of Trump administration

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%12%

Following a rally where Ossoff criticized the Trump administration, his chances in prediction markets surged, reflecting increased public and political support for his 2028 nomination prospects.

Democratic insiders call Kamala Harris the 'fairly obvious' 2028 frontrunner

Multiple Democratic aides and strategists publicly described Kamala Harris as the 'fairly obvious' frontrunner for the 2028 nomination, reinforcing her perceived lead despite market fluctuations.

Emerson College poll shows Buttigieg leads Democratic 2028 field

An Emerson College poll released in July 2026 showed Pete Buttigieg leading the Democratic field for 2028, with Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trailing, influencing market perceptions.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gains progressive support during 'Fighting Oligarchy' tour with Bernie Sanders

Ocasio-Cortez's active campaigning with Sanders energized her progressive base and media attention, supporting her market position as a leading nominee contender.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gains renewed attention as a 2028 Democratic presidential contender

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 14%2%

Ocasio-Cortez's evolving rhetoric and national tour with Bernie Sanders have increased her visibility and support among progressive Democrats ahead of 2028.

Jon Ossoff ties Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in Emerson poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%2%

In the July 19-20 Emerson poll, Ossoff and Ocasio-Cortez both polled at 13%, marking a notable rise for Ossoff and reinforcing his growing stature in the race, which was reflected in market price increases.

Emerson College poll shows Pete Buttigieg leading 2028 Democratic field

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

A poll from Emerson College showed Pete Buttigieg leading the Democratic primary field for 2028, boosting his visibility and market support.

Mark Kelly signals serious consideration of 2028 presidential run

Mark Kelly rises to 3%1%

Mark Kelly publicly expressed serious consideration of a 2028 presidential bid, increasing his visibility and market interest despite prior controversies.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez hints at 2028 presidential run during campaign events

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, while campaigning for progressive candidates, did not rule out a 2028 presidential run, signaling her ambition to change the country and energizing her progressive base.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

A New Hampshire poll showed Ocasio-Cortez as the frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic nomination, boosting her market price and signaling strong grassroots support despite her noncommittal stance on running.

Jon Ossoff rises in polls and prediction markets as 2028 Democratic contender

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%13%

Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff's profile rose significantly in mid-2026 due to viral speeches and strong polling in a key swing state, increasing his market price from 3% to 16% and positioning him as a leading 2028 Democratic contender despite his public reluctance to run.

Jon Ossoff rises in Democratic primary polls despite denying 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%8%

Despite repeated denials of presidential ambitions, Jon Ossoff's polling and market odds increased significantly in mid-2026, reflecting growing speculation about his potential candidacy and boosting his market price from 6% to 14%.

Jon Ossoff's 2028 presidential momentum grows amid strong fundraising and rising profile

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%4%

By July 20, 2026, Ossoff's fundraising success and growing national profile, including endorsements and campaign strength, boosted his market odds significantly during the analysis window.

Jon Ossoff intensifies anti-Trump messaging in 2026 reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Ossoff's strong anti-Trump rhetoric and campaign fundraising surge in mid-2026 raised his profile as a 2028 contender, impacting his market price positively after prior declines.

Jon Ossoff intensifies attacks on Trump in 2026 Senate reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%3%

Ossoff's aggressive stance against Trump and his administration during his 2026 reelection campaign raised his national profile, fueling speculation about his presidential prospects and driving up his market odds.

Emerson poll shows Jon Ossoff rising among 2028 Democratic contenders

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%8%

An Emerson College poll in late July 2026 showed Jon Ossoff gaining support, tying with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and trailing Gavin Newsom, which contributed to a rise in his market odds from 6% to 14-16%. This polling data signaled growing viability for Ossoff despite his public denials of a presidential run.

Poll shows Jon Ossoff ties Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in 2028 Democratic primary support

Jon Ossoff rises to 13%3%

An Emerson poll conducted July 19-20 showed Jon Ossoff receiving 13% support, tying with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and trailing Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg. This polling boost coincided with Ossoff's rise in prediction markets, increasing his perceived viability.

Pete Buttigieg leads 2028 Democratic primary in new Emerson College poll

Pete Buttigieg rises to 19%1%

An Emerson College poll released in July 2026 showed Pete Buttigieg leading the Democratic field for 2028, reinforcing his position as a front-runner and contributing to his market price increase.

Jon Ossoff gains attention as a 2028 Democratic prospect amid Senate reelection campaign

Senator Jon Ossoff focused on his 2026 Senate reelection in Georgia while gaining recognition as a potential 2028 presidential candidate, influencing his market probability.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

A New Hampshire poll showed Ocasio-Cortez as the top pick among Democratic contenders for 2028, boosting her profile and market price during the analysis window.

Veteran strategist James Carville says Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has no shot at 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 13%2%

On July 18, 2026, James Carville publicly stated that AOC has no chance at winning the Democratic nomination, which tempered some enthusiasm and may have contributed to a slight market correction for her odds.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigns across multiple states, fueling 2028 presidential speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

In mid-2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez undertook a cross-country campaign tour, raising her national profile and increasing speculation about a 2028 presidential run, which contributed to her market price rising from 9% to 14% by mid-July.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez emerges as party ideological leader amid 2028 speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%6%

Following a New Hampshire poll showing her as a frontrunner, Ocasio-Cortez solidified her role as a progressive leader, though some Democrats remain uncertain about her presidential viability, reflected in a market rise from 8% to 14%.

Josh Shapiro intensifies midterm efforts with eye on 2028 presidential run

Josh Shapiro made significant efforts in the 2026 midterms, boosting down-ballot Democrats and solidifying his position as a leading 2028 presidential contender.

Jon Ossoff gains attention with strong anti-Trump messaging and fundraising

Jon Ossoff rises to 12%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff increased his national profile through vocal opposition to Donald Trump and significant fundraising, positioning himself as a potential 2028 presidential candidate despite challenges in his 2026 Senate re-election race.

Mark Kelly raises over $25 million, fueling 2028 presidential speculation

Mark Kelly rises to 3%2%

Arizona Senator Mark Kelly raised and donated significant funds to Democratic candidates and committees, amassing a war chest of over $25 million, which fueled speculation about a potential 2028 presidential run and increased his market profile.

Jon Ossoff aggressively attacks Trump during Senate Intelligence Committee hearing

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Ossoff questioned Trump's nominee for national intelligence director about the 2020 election results, highlighting Trump's refusal to concede and labeling his administration corrupt. This high-profile confrontation boosted Ossoff's visibility as a leading anti-Trump Democrat and increased his 2028 nomination odds.

Senator Jon Ossoff aggressively questions Trump nominee at Senate hearing, highlighting opposition to Trump

Jon Ossoff rises to 12%3%

On July 15, 2026, Ossoff's pointed questioning of Jay Clayton, Trump's nominee for national intelligence director, and his vocal opposition to Trump administration policies raised his national profile and contributed to a significant rise in his market odds.

Jon Ossoff posts $20 million fundraising haul for 2026 Senate race

Jon Ossoff rises to 6%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff reported a $20 million fundraising haul in the second quarter of 2026, significantly outpacing his opponent and solidifying his position as a strong Democratic contender, which influenced his market price positively.

Jon Ossoff rises in polls and prediction markets as 2028 Democratic nominee contender

Jon Ossoff jumps to 15%12%

Senator Jon Ossoff's profile surged with viral speeches and strong fundraising, leading to increased polling support and prediction market odds for the 2028 Democratic nomination.

Jon Ossoff aggressively challenges Trump nominee at Senate hearing

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%11%

Jon Ossoff gained national attention by questioning Jay Clayton, Trump's nominee for national intelligence director, on the legitimacy of the 2020 election, enhancing his profile as a strong Trump critic and potential 2028 candidate.

Mark Kelly raises nearly $25 million campaign war chest amid Trump clashes

Mark Kelly rises to 3%1%

Senator Mark Kelly's significant fundraising surge amid political attacks from Trump and Pentagon disputes boosted his profile and viability as a 2028 presidential candidate, reflected in his market price.

Justice Department investigation into Gavin Newsom surfaces amid 2028 speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%4%

Reports of a Justice Department investigation into Newsom led to negative media coverage and market skepticism, causing his nomination odds to decline during mid-July 2026.

Jon Ossoff questions Trump nominee at Senate Intelligence Committee hearing

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%6%

Senator Jon Ossoff pressed President Trump's nominee for national intelligence director on the legitimacy of the 2020 election, highlighting his role as a vocal critic of Trump and boosting his national profile ahead of 2028.

Mark Kelly reports nearly $25 million campaign war chest amid 2028 speculation

Mark Kelly rises to 3%1%

Senator Mark Kelly announced a political treasury of nearly $25 million in mid-2026, positioning himself as a top fundraiser and donor, which elevated his profile as a potential 2028 presidential candidate and slightly increased his market odds.

Poll shows Gavin Newsom leading 2028 Democratic nomination race

A new poll showed Gavin Newsom leading among Democratic primary contenders for 2028, boosting his market price and reinforcing his front-runner status.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum as a rising Democratic star with viral speeches

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%3%

Jon Ossoff's viral speeches criticizing Donald Trump and his growing media presence increased his profile as a potential 2028 candidate, reflected in a significant rise in market odds during July 2026.

Emerson poll shows Jon Ossoff among top 2028 Democratic contenders

Jon Ossoff jumps to 15%9%

In July 2026, Emerson College polling included Jon Ossoff as a leading option for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the first time, boosting his market support from 6% to 15%.

Jon Ossoff targets Republican opponent over Epstein files in new ad

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Ossoff's aggressive campaign tactics in his 2026 Senate race increased his visibility but did not translate into higher market odds for the presidential nomination.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff gain in polls and prediction markets

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

By mid-July 2026, polls and prediction markets showed rising support for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff, narrowing the gap with Gavin Newsom and reflecting increased public interest and speculation about their potential candidacies.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez increases national campaigning and fundraising for 2028 positioning

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

AOC ramped up her national presence and fundraising efforts in mid-2026, boosting her profile as a potential 2028 candidate and contributing to her market price increase from 9% to 15%.

Pete Buttigieg keeps 2028 options open, focuses on 2026 races in Iowa

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg stated he has not ruled out a 2028 presidential run while focusing on the 2026 midterm elections, maintaining his presence in the national political conversation.

Pete Buttigieg does not rule out 2028 presidential run at Iowa campaign event

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg publicly declined to rule out a 2028 presidential bid during a campaign event in Iowa, keeping speculation alive and maintaining his position as a notable contender in the Democratic field.

Pete Buttigieg to keynote Iowa Democratic Party’s Liberty & Justice dinner, signaling 2028 run

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Buttigieg's keynote at a major Iowa event increased his visibility in a key early primary state, supporting a price rise from 4% to 5%.

Pete Buttigieg leads in Emerson College poll for 2028 Democratic presidential nomination

Pete Buttigieg rises to 5%1%

Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg topped a new Emerson College poll as the leading choice for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, boosting his market odds.

Jon Ossoff gains attention with strong anti-Trump rhetoric ahead of 2026 Senate race

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%12%

Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff's vocal criticism of Donald Trump and his strong fundraising and campaigning for re-election in a swing state increased his profile as a 2028 presidential prospect, despite his public denial of presidential ambitions.

Gavin Newsom campaigns nationally ahead of 2026 midterms, hints at 2028 run

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%4%

Newsom's national campaign tour to support Democrats and his statements about considering a 2028 presidential run after midterms helped maintain his status as a top contender, though his market price declined slightly.

Kamala Harris signals 2028 presidential ambitions during National Action Network Convention

Kamala Harris rises to 9%1%

At the 2026 National Action Network Convention, Kamala Harris stated she was "thinking about" running for president in 2028, maintaining her profile as a potential candidate despite mixed reactions.

Gavin Newsom campaigns in Nevada amid criticism from Republicans

Gavin Newsom dips to 19%2%

Newsom's Nevada campaign tour to support Democrats drew Republican criticism highlighting California's issues, which may have pressured his market price downward amid concerns about electability in swing states.

Gavin Newsom launches midterm campaign tour focusing on southern states

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%4%

Newsom began a campaign tour in July 2026 targeting key southern states with significant Black voter populations, aiming to build support for Democrats ahead of the midterms and position himself for a potential 2028 presidential run. This strategic outreach was seen as bolstering his frontrunner status, though his market price began to decline afterward.

Poll shows Kamala Harris beating Gavin Newsom by double digits for 2028 nomination

A July 2026 national poll found Kamala Harris leading Gavin Newsom by 17.6 points, reinforcing her early advantage in the Democratic field, though her market odds remained lower than Newsom's.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads new national Democratic poll for 2028 nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 13%5%

A May 2026 AtlasIntel poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the Democratic field nationally with 26% support, boosting her market odds and signaling her rising prominence as a potential candidate.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surges in polls as potential 2028 nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%5%

Ocasio-Cortez's polling rose sharply in early July, reaching 15% by July 9, reflecting increased support as a progressive leader and potential 2028 candidate, contributing to her market price increase from 10% to 15%.

Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Gavin Newsom in 2028 Democratic primary

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%4%

A July 2026 poll by Echelon Insights showed Kamala Harris with a 7-point lead over Gavin Newsom, indicating a shift in voter preference and contributing to Newsom's declining market price.

Rahm Emanuel delivers critical speech on Israel's international standing

Rahm Emanuel, a potential 2028 Democratic candidate, gave a blistering speech in Tel Aviv warning that Israel has become increasingly isolated due to its leadership, raising his profile and impacting his candidacy perception.

Gavin Newsom launches summer campaign tour to support Democrats in battleground states

Newsom began a national tour focusing on fundraising and campaigning for Democratic candidates in key states, signaling his increased national profile and potential 2028 presidential ambitions. This activity maintained his status as a leading contender despite some polling slumps.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surges in polls amid speculation of 2028 run

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 16%7%

Ocasio-Cortez's support rose sharply in early July polls, reaching a high of 16%, as she kept her options open about a presidential run and gained recognition as a progressive leader, boosting her market price.

Gavin Newsom launches national tour to boost Democrats and lay groundwork for 2028 run

Gavin Newsom rises to 20%2%

Governor Gavin Newsom began a national political swing including Nevada and the South to support Democrats in the 2026 midterms and build relationships for a potential 2028 presidential campaign, influencing his market position.

Rahm Emanuel delivers speech in Tel Aviv warning about Israel policy

Former ambassador Rahm Emanuel gave a high-profile speech in Tel Aviv criticizing Israeli policies, raising his national profile amid speculation about a 2028 presidential run.

Rahm Emanuel delivers critical speech in Tel Aviv on US-Israel relations

Rahm Emanuel, a potential 2028 presidential candidate, gave a high-profile speech in Israel warning that US-Israel ties are at a crossroads, raising his national profile and impacting his market price positively.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads New Hampshire poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

A New Hampshire poll showed Ocasio-Cortez as the top Democratic candidate for 2028, increasing her market price and solidifying her status as a front-runner.

Ocasio-Cortez and Ossoff surge in 2028 Democratic nomination prediction markets

Polymarket data showed Ocasio-Cortez and Ossoff increasing their chances significantly, with Ossoff doubling his odds to 14% and Ocasio-Cortez rising to 14%, while Newsom's odds declined, reflecting shifting market confidence.

Reports suggest Jon Ossoff laying groundwork for 2028 presidential run with national ad buys

Jon Ossoff rises to 15%3%

Reporting indicated that Senator Jon Ossoff has spent significant campaign funds on ads in early primary and swing states outside Georgia, signaling preparation for a 2028 presidential run. This increased his market odds despite his public denials of interest.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez national campaigning and fundraising boost 2028 prospects

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%7%

AOC increased her national presence and fundraising efforts in mid-2026, which helped raise her market price from 8% to 15% by early August, reflecting growing market confidence in her candidacy.

Emerson poll shows Jon Ossoff ties Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez for third place in 2028 Democratic primary

Jon Ossoff rises to 14%4%

The Emerson poll conducted July 19-20 showed Ossoff and Ocasio-Cortez tied at 13%, boosting Ossoff's market price from 10% to 14% and increasing Ocasio-Cortez's visibility.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez surges in New Hampshire poll for 2028 Democratic nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 16%5%

A New Hampshire poll showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading the early 2028 Democratic presidential primary state, causing her market price to jump from 11% to 16%. This surge highlighted her growing appeal among progressive voters and increased speculation about her candidacy.

Poll reveals Democratic voters' skepticism toward Gavin Newsom's 2028 prospects

Gavin Newsom drops to 19%5%

A Daily Mail/JL Partners poll showed 27% of Democrats supporting a Justice Department probe into Newsom, reflecting skepticism that contributed to a decline in his market price from 24% to 19% in early July.

Pete Buttigieg endorses Jocelyn Benson in Michigan gubernatorial primary

Pete Buttigieg endorsed Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson for governor, signaling his active engagement in Democratic politics and maintaining his market presence around 5%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ramps up national campaigning and fundraising for 2028 bid

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

In early July 2026, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez increased her national presence and fundraising efforts, which boosted her market price from 9% to 15% by early August, reflecting growing support.

Poll shows Kamala Harris narrowly leads Gavin Newsom in ranked-choice simulation

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

A Lake Research Partners poll conducted in early May showed a competitive field with Kamala Harris narrowly leading Gavin Newsom 52% to 48% in a ranked-choice voting simulation, within the margin of error, reflecting a tight race and influencing market prices.

Investigation and poll damage Gavin Newsom's frontrunner status

Gavin Newsom drops to 19%5%

Reports of a Justice Department investigation into Gavin Newsom and a poll showing Kamala Harris narrowly leading Newsom contributed to a decline in Newsom's market price from 24% to around 19-20%, reflecting concerns about his electability and legal challenges.

Rahm Emanuel tours early primary states, signaling 2028 presidential ambitions

Rahm Emanuel's visits to New Hampshire and South Carolina, along with media appearances, indicated serious consideration of a 2028 presidential run, raising his profile among Democratic voters.

Justice Department probe into Gavin Newsom and wife announced

Gavin Newsom dips to 19%2%

A Justice Department investigation into Gavin Newsom and his wife over possible tax issues related to nonprofit groups was reported, causing a decline in Newsom's market price from 21% to 19%.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum with increased visibility and polling support

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%8%

Jon Ossoff's market price rose from 6% to 14% over the analysis window, with notable jumps in early July 2026 due to increased visibility and favorable polling, signaling growing viability as a nominee.

Vice President JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will lead 2028 Democratic race

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%6%

Vance's public prediction elevated Ocasio-Cortez's profile, contributing to a price increase from 8% to 14%.

JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will lead 2028 Democratic race

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%6%

On July 3, 2026, JD Vance publicly predicted that Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez could be the leading Democratic candidate for 2028, boosting her market odds from 8% to 14%.

Fox News contributor predicts Kamala Harris will be 2028 Democratic nominee

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Fox News contributor Clay Travis predicted Kamala Harris would be the Democratic nominee in 2028, citing her polling strength and support among Black voters, which reinforced her market position despite some internal party skepticism.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Endorses Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan Senate Primary

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 12%1%

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez waded into her first contested Senate primary of the 2026 cycle by endorsing progressive Dr. Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan, signaling her growing influence and leadership within the national party.

Jon Ossoff gains media attention amid 2028 speculation

Jon Ossoff jumps to 14%7%

Despite denying plans to run, Ossoff's viral speeches and rising media profile increased his market price from 7% to 14%, reflecting growing public interest and speculation about his candidacy.

Fox News Poll Shows Jon Ossoff Holding Double-Digit Lead in Georgia Senate Race

Jon Ossoff rises to 13%3%

A new Fox News poll showed incumbent Senator Jon Ossoff leading Republican challenger Mike Collins by 13 points, reinforcing his image as a highly electable and rising star in the Democratic Party.

Kamala Harris Reaches Out to Progressives and Pro-Palestinian Activists

Kamala Harris dips to 6%1%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris held private meetings with progressive leaders, including New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, to build bridges ahead of 2028, though the outreach drew mixed reactions and skepticism from some party factions.

JD Vance names Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as expected 2028 Democratic frontrunner

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 11%2%

Vice President JD Vance singled out Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the likely 2028 Democratic nominee, sparking a viral exchange and boosting her market odds.

Vice President JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as leading 2028 Democratic candidate

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 15%6%

JD Vance publicly named Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the likely Democratic nominee for 2028, sparking media attention and a temporary boost in her market odds.

Kamala Harris hints at 2028 presidential run amid mixed party support

Kamala Harris rises to 9%2%

Harris publicly stated she was 'thinking about' running in 2028, maintaining a national profile with book tours and speeches, but faced skepticism from some major donors and party figures, resulting in modest market movement.

Gavin Newsom faces backlash over podcast with conservative guests

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%3%

Newsom's hosting of conservative figures on his podcast and controversial comments caused backlash within the Democratic Party, leading to a decline in his market price from highs earlier in June.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez responds to JD Vance's prediction of her 2028 nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Following JD Vance's public prediction that Ocasio-Cortez would be the leading Democratic nominee in 2028, she responded positively, fueling speculation and increasing her market odds during early July.

Vice President JD Vance names Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as leading 2028 Democratic candidate

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%1%

JD Vance publicly predicted Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez would be the leading Democratic nominee in 2028, sparking media attention and a positive market reaction that boosted her price from 8% to 9%.

Kamala Harris says she is 'thinking about' running in 2028 presidential election

At the National Action Network Convention on July 1, 2026, Kamala Harris publicly stated she was considering a 2028 presidential run, maintaining her market position around 9%.

Jon Ossoff denies plans to run for president in 2028 amid rising speculation

Jon Ossoff dips to 10%2%

Despite rising market odds and media buzz, Jon Ossoff publicly stated he has no interest in a 2028 presidential run, which may have tempered further price increases.

JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be 2028 Democratic nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 14%3%

Republican Vice President JD Vance publicly named Ocasio-Cortez as the expected Democratic frontrunner for 2028, prompting media buzz and a viral response from Ocasio-Cortez, which further boosted her market odds.

Gavin Newsom publicly signals consideration of 2028 presidential run after midterms

Gavin Newsom rises to 24%4%

California Governor Gavin Newsom publicly stated he would consider a presidential run after the 2026 midterm elections, boosting his market price from 20% to 24% as he became the early frontrunner in the Democratic nomination race.

Jon Ossoff Adamantly Denies 2028 Presidential Ambitions

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%1%

Despite a surge in prediction market odds and national buzz, Senator Jon Ossoff explicitly ruled out a 2028 presidential run, stating he is entirely focused on his competitive 2026 Georgia Senate reelection race.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez responds wryly to JD Vance's 2028 nomination prediction

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

Vice President JD Vance predicted Ocasio-Cortez as the leading Democratic candidate for 2028, and she responded with a wry smile and hopeful comment, which boosted her market price.

AOC Responds to JD Vance's Prediction That She Will Be the 2028 Democratic Nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 11%1%

Vice President JD Vance predicted that Ocasio-Cortez would be the Democratic nominee in 2028, prompting a quick-witted response from her that fueled further media buzz and raised her market odds.

Jon Ossoff Adamantly Rules Out 2028 Presidential Run

Senator Jon Ossoff doubled down on his refusal to run for president in 2028, stating he is laser-focused on his Georgia Senate reelection campaign, which cooled his rising market odds.

Senator Jon Ossoff doubles down on denial of 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff rises to 11%1%

Despite growing online support and speculation about a 2028 presidential bid, Jon Ossoff publicly denied any interest in running, emphasizing his focus on the 2026 Senate race, which paradoxically kept him in the spotlight.

JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be the 2028 Democratic nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Vice President JD Vance singled out Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as the expected 2028 Democratic frontrunner, prompting a viral response from the congresswoman and boosting her market price.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez responds to JD Vance's prediction of her 2028 nomination

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

JD Vance publicly predicted Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez would be the leading Democratic candidate for president in 2028. Ocasio-Cortez's wry and noncommittal response was widely reported, fueling speculation and boosting her market odds from 9% to 14%.

AtlasIntel Poll Places Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at the Top of Potential 2028 Democratic Field

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

A new AtlasIntel poll showed Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading potential Democratic contenders with 26 percent support, boosting her market odds significantly.

Jon Ossoff denies 2028 presidential run amid rising speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

Despite rising market and polling support, Jon Ossoff publicly reiterated he is not running for president in 2028, focusing instead on his 2026 Senate reelection campaign, which influenced market perceptions.

Senator Jon Ossoff flatly denies 2028 presidential ambitions to CNN

Senator Jon Ossoff reiterated that he is not running for president in 2028 and is entirely focused on his Georgia Senate reelection campaign, temporarily cooling some market speculation.

Jon Ossoff reiterates he is not running for president in 2028 amid rising speculation

Jon Ossoff dips to 6%3%

Despite rising market odds and media speculation, Ossoff publicly denied any interest in running for president in 2028, focusing on his 2026 Senate reelection campaign, which caused some market fluctuations.

Kamala Harris courts progressive leaders amid 2028 presidential speculation

Kamala Harris reached out to progressive figures like NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, signaling possible 2028 ambitions, but this did not significantly boost her market price, which remained low.

Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear expresses comfort with 2028 presidential contender status

Andy Beshear rises to 3%1%

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear acknowledged being comfortable with being named a potential 2028 Democratic presidential contender, signaling early positioning for a possible run.

Vice President JD Vance predicts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez will be 2028 Democratic nominee

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%5%

JD Vance publicly named Ocasio-Cortez as the likely Democratic nominee in 2028, which sparked media attention and a subtle but positive response from Ocasio-Cortez, boosting her market price significantly.

Jon Ossoff publicly denies 2028 presidential run amid rising speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Despite Ossoff's repeated denials of running for president in 2028, his market odds rose significantly due to strong polling and fundraising for his 2026 Senate reelection campaign, reflecting increased public interest.

Jon Ossoff Reiterates He Has No Interest in Running for President in 2028

Jon Ossoff rises to 11%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff flatly denied any presidential ambitions to CNN, stating he is laser-focused on his Georgia Senate reelection campaign.

Senator Jon Ossoff Reiterates He Has Zero Interest in Running for President in 2028

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%1%

Despite growing online support and media speculation, Senator Jon Ossoff issued a firm statement denying any interest in a 2028 presidential run, calling the chatter a distraction.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's cross-country tour fuels fresh 2028 presidential buzz

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 12%3%

Ocasio-Cortez's national appearances and speeches, including at civil rights events, renewed speculation about her 2028 presidential ambitions, supporting a market price rise from 9% to 12%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez cruises to primary victory, fueling 2028 speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 12%3%

Ocasio-Cortez's decisive primary win in New York solidified her position as a leading progressive voice and increased speculation about a 2028 presidential run, reflected in her market price rising from 9% to 12%.

Jon Ossoff's viral campaign rallies boost 2028 presidential speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%4%

Senator Jon Ossoff's campaign rallies in Georgia went viral, showcasing his sharp criticism of Donald Trump and resonating with Democratic voters. Despite his repeated denials of interest in running for president, his rising profile and fundraising success increased his market odds from 6% to 10%.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins Democratic primary, boosting 2028 speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 12%3%

AOC's decisive primary victory in New York solidified her position as a leading progressive voice and increased speculation about a 2028 presidential run, reflected in her market price rising from 9% to 12%.

Senator Jon Ossoff publicly denies interest in 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

Amid rising speculation about his 2028 presidential prospects, Jon Ossoff explicitly stated he is not interested in running, focusing instead on the 2026 midterms. This statement clarified his position but did not diminish his growing profile, which was reflected in increasing market odds.

Senator Jon Ossoff publicly rules out 2028 presidential run

Jon Ossoff dips to 9%1%

On June 29, 2026, Senator Jon Ossoff explicitly stated he would not launch a presidential campaign for 2028, despite rising speculation and social media buzz. This announcement likely contributed to a temporary price dip or slowed growth in his nomination odds.

Tucker Carlson reveals Trump views Gavin Newsom as a 2028 threat

Gavin Newsom dips to 20%1%

Conservative commentator Tucker Carlson disclosed that former President Donald Trump considers Gavin Newsom a viable contender for the 2028 Democratic nomination, which reinforced Newsom's frontrunner status despite ongoing challenges.

Andy Beshear positions himself for 2028 presidential run during midterms campaign

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear actively campaigned for Democrats in 2026 midterms while signaling his intention to run for president in 2028, enhancing his national profile and market interest.

Jon Ossoff's viral campaign rallies boost 2028 presidential speculation

Jon Ossoff jumps to 13%5%

Senator Jon Ossoff's campaign rallies gained viral attention, increasing his national profile and market odds despite his repeated denials of presidential ambitions. This energized Democratic voters and raised his viability as a 2028 contender.

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear gains traction as potential 2028 presidential candidate

Andy Beshear dips to 2%1%

By mid-2026, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear was gaining popularity and polling as a potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidate, rising to around 2-3% in markets and polls, reflecting growing national attention.

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear campaigns in key 2026 races, signaling 2028 ambitions

Beshear's active campaigning and high approval ratings in a red state increased market confidence, reflected in his price stabilizing around 2%.

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear positions for 2028 presidential run during 2026 midterms campaign

Andy Beshear dips to 2%4%

Beshear's active campaigning for Democrats in key 2026 races and his moderate positioning in a red state increased his visibility as a potential 2028 presidential candidate.

Poll places Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez as leading 2028 Democratic candidate

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez jumps to 14%6%

An AtlasIntel poll showed Ocasio-Cortez leading the Democratic field with 26% support, surpassing Harris and Newsom. This boosted her market odds from 8% to 14%, reflecting increased confidence in her candidacy.

Gavin Newsom announces agreement on California state budget, maintaining frontrunner status

On June 26, 2026, California Governor Gavin Newsom announced a balanced state budget agreement, reinforcing his position as a leading 2028 Democratic nominee contender and supporting his market odds around 24%.

Poll shows Kamala Harris's early lead tightening as Newsom and Ocasio-Cortez gain support

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

A McLaughlin poll indicated a tightening race among top Democratic contenders, with Kamala Harris's support declining while Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gained ground, reflecting shifting voter preferences.

New poll shows Kamala Harris's support waning amid calls for fresh Democratic candidates

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

A poll and donor sentiment in late June indicated declining enthusiasm for Kamala Harris's 2028 bid, with party leaders favoring fresh faces, contributing to her market price decline from 9% to 7%.

McLaughlin & Associates Poll Shows Kamala Harris Leading 2028 Field but with Tightening Support

A new national survey showed Kamala Harris leading Democratic voters with 26% support, but her early dominant lead continued to tighten as other potential candidates gained traction.

Gavin Newsom and Wife Under Federal Investigation, Governor Claims Political Motivation

California Governor Gavin Newsom announced that he and his wife are under federal investigation, framing the probe as a politically motivated attack by Donald Trump due to his 2028 presidential ambitions.

Kamala Harris market price declines amid skepticism about 2028 run

Kamala Harris dips to 6%3%

Despite earlier hints at running, skepticism grew about Harris's chances for the 2028 nomination, reflected in a market price decline from 9% to 6%, as some commentators questioned her viability and recent political impact.

Andy Beshear’s support rises in polls for 2028 presidential speculation

Andy Beshear rises to 3%1%

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear showed a notable increase in polling support for a potential 2028 presidential run, reflecting growing recognition of his moderate appeal and electoral success in a red state.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins primary, fueling 2028 presidential bid speculation

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%4%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's easy primary victory in New York boosted her political clout and reignited speculation about a 2028 presidential run, leading to increased market prices for her nomination chances.

Tucker Carlson reveals Trump views Gavin Newsom as viable 2028 Democratic nominee

Conservative commentator Tucker Carlson disclosed that former President Donald Trump considers Gavin Newsom a strong contender for the 2028 Democratic nomination, reinforcing Newsom's frontrunner status despite challenges.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez introduces AI Data Center Moratorium Act

Ocasio-Cortez sponsored legislation addressing AI regulation, highlighting her progressive policy focus and maintaining her national profile ahead of 2028.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Cruises to Primary Victory as Socialists Sweep New York

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 13%3%

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez easily defeated her primary challenger Marty Dolan, while three Democratic Socialists of America candidates swept their own primaries in New York City, boosting her 2028 presidential speculation.

Jon Ossoff denies 2028 presidential run amid rising speculation

Jon Ossoff dips to 7%2%

Despite growing speculation about a 2028 presidential bid, Ossoff publicly stated in late June that he is not running for president, emphasizing his focus on the 2026 Senate race. This statement temporarily tempered market enthusiasm but did not halt his overall upward trend.

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear signals 2028 presidential interest

Andy Beshear has made media appearances and comments indicating he is considering a 2028 presidential run, supported by high approval ratings and bipartisan appeal, though he has not formally announced.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins New York Democratic primary

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 10%1%

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez easily defeated a primary challenger in New York's 14th District, solidifying her political standing and fueling speculation about a 2028 run.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secures Democratic nomination for New York’s 14th Congressional District

Ocasio-Cortez's renomination solidified her political base and maintained her national profile as a potential 2028 presidential candidate.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez receives Democratic nomination for NY’s 14th Congressional District

Ocasio-Cortez secured her House nomination, increasing her profile and market odds for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination from 11% to higher levels as she gained national attention.

Gavin Newsom embraces Joe Biden ahead of 2028 primary

Gavin Newsom publicly aligned himself with Joe Biden, betting that embracing the former president would be more popular among Democrats than distancing himself. This strategic positioning aimed to consolidate support within the party for his 2028 bid.

Gavin Newsom aligns with Joe Biden ahead of 2028 presidential cycle

Gavin Newsom rises to 25%1%

Newsom cultivated closer ties with Joe Biden and his political circle, praising Biden's legislative record, which helped maintain his frontrunner status despite some market volatility.

Gavin Newsom aligns closely with Joe Biden ahead of 2028 presidential cycle

Gavin Newsom dips to 23%1%

Axios reported that Gavin Newsom has been cultivating closer ties with Joe Biden and his political circle, emphasizing Biden's legislative record to secure Democratic goodwill. This strategic positioning reinforced Newsom's frontrunner status, maintaining his market lead despite a slight price dip.

Jon Ossoff's Campaign Raises Over $1 Million in 24 Hours Following GOP Runoff

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%2%

Following the confirmation of his Republican opponent, Ossoff's general election campaign raised over $1 million in a single day, demonstrating his formidable fundraising power and national appeal.

Prediction Markets Price Jon Ossoff as 2028 Contender While Gavin Newsom Cools Off

Gavin Newsom dips to 21%3%

Traders heavily backed Jon Ossoff in 2028 nomination contracts, closing his gap with other top contenders, while former frontrunner Gavin Newsom experienced a slight decline in his market share.

New York Times Opinion Piece Boosts Jon Ossoff as Ideal 2028 Presidential Candidate

Jon Ossoff rises to 13%4%

A prominent opinion piece by Michelle Goldberg in The New York Times detailed why Jon Ossoff is seen as an ideal candidate to bridge party divides, sparking national buzz and driving his prediction market price to its peak.

Jon Ossoff's viral campaign rallies fuel 2028 presidential speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%4%

Senator Jon Ossoff's energetic and viral campaign speeches increased his visibility and market odds from 6% to 10%, despite his repeated denials of presidential ambitions. His appeal as a Southern Democrat in a swing state attracted attention as a potential future nominee.

Jon Ossoff emphasized as 2028 prospect but must win 2026 reelection

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%2%

Coverage highlighted Ossoff's potential for 2028 while stressing the importance of his 2026 Senate race in Georgia, supporting his market rise amid growing speculation.

Jon Ossoff's 2026 Senate campaign boosts 2028 presidential speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Media coverage highlighted Jon Ossoff's potential as a 2028 presidential candidate contingent on his 2026 Senate race success. His viral campaign speeches and fundraising momentum increased market confidence, raising his nomination odds from 6% to 9%.

Jon Ossoff gains attention with viral campaign speech in Atlanta

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff's 30-minute campaign speech in Atlanta went viral, boosting his profile and contributing to a rise in his market price from 7% to 10% in mid-June.

Jon Ossoff gains attention as a rising 2028 Democratic contender despite denying candidacy

Jon Ossoff jumps to 16%9%

Jon Ossoff's national profile rose due to strong polling and betting market gains, even as he repeatedly stated he was not running for president in 2028. This increased market confidence in his chances, reflected in his price rising from 7% to 16%.

Media highlights Jon Ossoff as rising Democratic star and 2028 contender

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%1%

On June 18, media coverage emphasized Ossoff's growing momentum and appeal as a young, authentic Democratic leader with strong fundraising and viral campaign videos, reinforcing his status as a leading 2028 presidential prospect and supporting the market price increase to 10%.

Jon Ossoff Floated as 2028 Contender Ahead of Crucial 2026 Reelection Test

Jon Ossoff dips to 10%2%

Media analysis highlighted Ossoff's potential as a 2028 presidential candidate, noting that a victory in his highly competitive 2026 Georgia Senate race would prove his broad appeal.

Jon Ossoff delivers viral campaign speech boosting 2028 speculation

Jon Ossoff jumps to 15%9%

Ossoff's May 31 rally speech went viral, increasing his profile and market odds despite his repeated denials of a 2028 presidential run, contributing to his price rise from 6% to 15%.

Media analysis highlights Jon Ossoff's rising 2028 presidential prospects after Senate race

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%1%

Media coverage emphasized Jon Ossoff's potential as a 2028 presidential candidate contingent on his 2026 Senate race success, reinforcing market confidence and sustaining his elevated price near 10%.

Jon Ossoff seen as 2028 presidential prospect but must win 2026 Senate race

Analysis highlighted Ossoff as a potential 2028 candidate contingent on winning his 2026 Senate reelection in Georgia, affecting his market price which had declined due to election risks.

Jon Ossoff emerges as a rising 2028 Democratic prospect amid Senate reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Jon Ossoff gained attention as a 2028 presidential contender due to his viral campaign speeches and anti-corruption message during his 2026 Senate reelection campaign, boosting his profile and market odds despite his public denial of presidential ambitions.

Analysis Highlights Jon Ossoff as a Rising 2028 Democratic Presidential Contender

Jon Ossoff dips to 9%1%

On June 18, 2026, media analysis emphasized Jon Ossoff's potential as a 2028 presidential candidate contingent on his 2026 Senate race success. This coverage reinforced market confidence, sustaining his elevated price near 10%.

DOJ probe into Gavin Newsom could affect 2028 presidential ambitions

Gavin Newsom drops to 20%5%

A Washington Post report revealed that the DOJ had opened a federal investigation into Governor Gavin Newsom and his wife. The news sparked speculation that the probe could either damage his presidential prospects or rally Democratic voters, prompting a modest but noticeable decline in Newsom’s market price from the mid‑20s to the low‑20 % range by the end of June.

Gavin Newsom reveals federal investigation, boosting 2028 nomination odds

Gavin Newsom rises to 25%1%

California Governor Gavin Newsom announced a Department of Justice investigation, which increased media attention and paradoxically boosted his 2028 presidential nomination odds despite potential risks.

Gavin Newsom announces federal investigation amid 2028 presidential speculation

Gavin Newsom drops to 20%5%

Newsom publicly revealed that he and his wife were under federal investigation, which introduced uncertainty about his presidential prospects. While some Democrats rallied around him viewing the probe as politically motivated, the market price for his nomination odds declined from 25% to around 20%.

Mark Kelly's campaign fundraising surges amid Pentagon dispute

Mark Kelly rises to 3%1%

Senator Mark Kelly raised record funds following Pentagon administrative actions against him, boosting his campaign resources and national profile as a 2028 contender.

Jon Ossoff's viral campaign rally sparks 2028 presidential speculation

Jon Ossoff jumps to 12%5%

Ossoff's viral speech and growing online support increased his market odds from 7% to 12%, despite his public denials of presidential ambitions, reflecting rising enthusiasm among Democrats.

Federal investigation into Gavin Newsom raises questions but may bolster his 2028 chances

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%1%

Newsom announced he and his wife are under federal investigation, which initially caused some market uncertainty but ultimately may have rallied Democratic voters around him, keeping his price near 24-25% before a slight decline.

Jon Ossoff Profiled as Rising Internet Sensation and Potential 2028 Contender

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%2%

A major profile by The New York Times highlighted Jon Ossoff's growing status as a Democratic internet sensation and potential 2028 presidential candidate, boosting his market odds.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum as a 2028 Democratic presidential contender amid Senate reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff jumps to 13%6%

Jon Ossoff's rising profile as a young, charismatic leader and his active campaign for Senate reelection increased his visibility as a potential 2028 presidential candidate, with market price peaking at 13% on June 17 before settling at 9%.

Federal probe into California Gov. Gavin Newsom raises doubts about 2028 run

Gavin Newsom drops to 20%7%

The Washington Post reported that Newsom’s office confirmed a federal investigation into his administration on June 17. The announcement sparked speculation that legal trouble could derail a 2028 presidential bid, prompting the market’s price for Newsom to fall from a high of 27 % on June 15 to 20 % by July 1.

Jon Ossoff Becomes Internet Sensation and Potential 2028 Contender

Jon Ossoff jumps to 13%5%

National media highlighted Senator Jon Ossoff's growing momentum and viral campaign videos, framing him as a leading next-generation prospect for the 2028 nomination.

New York Times Opinion Piece Asks 'Why Everyone Wants Jon Ossoff to Run for President'

Jon Ossoff jumps to 13%5%

A prominent New York Times opinion piece by Michelle Goldberg detailed why Jon Ossoff is seen as an ideal 2028 presidential candidate, sparking national buzz and driving his prediction market price to a peak.

Federal investigation announced into Gavin Newsom and his wife

Gavin Newsom dips to 23%2%

California Governor Gavin Newsom disclosed a federal investigation into himself and his wife, raising questions about the impact on his 2028 presidential ambitions and causing a decline in his market price.

Jon Ossoff delivers viral 30-minute campaign speech boosting 2028 contender buzz

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%1%

Jon Ossoff's viral campaign speech in Atlanta increased his national profile and market confidence as a potential 2028 Democratic presidential nominee, contributing to a price rise from 9% to 10%.

Mike Collins Wins Georgia GOP Senate Runoff, Setting Up High-Stakes Race Against Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%3%

The conclusion of the Georgia Republican primary runoff set up a high-stakes general election matchup, boosting Ossoff's national profile and 2028 presidential speculation.

Trump-Endorsed Mike Collins Wins Georgia GOP Senate Runoff to Face Jon Ossoff

Representative Mike Collins won the Republican runoff, setting up a high-stakes Senate battle against Jon Ossoff, who is widely viewed as a potential 2028 Democratic presidential contender.

Kamala Harris signals possible 2028 presidential run during Vienna visit

Kamala Harris dips to 7%1%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris hinted at a 2028 presidential bid during a public appearance in Vienna, reinforcing her status as a frontrunner and maintaining steady market interest.

Georgia GOP Senate primary runoff concludes with Mike Collins as nominee to face Ossoff

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

The Republican primary runoff ended with Mike Collins winning, setting up a high-stakes general election against Jon Ossoff. The divided GOP primary and Collins' nomination improved Ossoff's reelection outlook and boosted his 2028 presidential nomination odds from 6% to 9%.

Republican Mike Collins wins Georgia Senate runoff, setting up tough race against Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Mike Collins won the Republican runoff, becoming Jon Ossoff's opponent in the 2026 Senate election. This improved Ossoff's reelection outlook and boosted his 2028 presidential nomination odds, as a strong Senate position is seen as a stepping stone for presidential ambitions.

Jon Ossoff Publicly Rejects 2028 Presidential Speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%2%

Despite growing chatter and rising prediction market odds, Senator Jon Ossoff explicitly stated he has zero interest in running for president in 2028, calling the speculation a distraction.

Jon Ossoff's Senate runoff against Mike Collins intensifies 2028 speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%3%

The June 16 runoff election in Georgia between Jon Ossoff and Republican Mike Collins heightened Ossoff's profile as a 2028 presidential contender, leading to a significant increase in his market odds.

Gavin Newsom maintains lead amid ongoing 2028 presidential speculation

Gavin Newsom rises to 25%2%

Despite some price fluctuations, Gavin Newsom's market price stabilized around 25% as he continued to be viewed as the early front-runner for the 2028 Democratic nomination, supported by his public statements and political positioning.

Gavin Newsom Preemptively Discloses Federal Investigation Into Himself and His Wife

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%3%

California Governor Gavin Newsom released a video announcing that he and his wife are under federal investigation, claiming the probe is politically motivated due to his 2028 presidential ambitions.

Jon Ossoff gains 2028 presidential buzz with viral anti-Trump speech

Jon Ossoff plunges to 9%41%

Senator Jon Ossoff's viral speech criticizing Donald Trump increased his profile as a potential 2028 candidate, despite his public denials, leading to a rise in market odds and fundraising success.

Gavin Newsom opposes California billionaire tax amid political pressure

Gavin Newsom drops to 21%5%

Newsom mounted a campaign to stop a proposed California billionaire tax, which was seen as a political battle affecting his image and market odds. This opposition coincided with a decline in his market price as concerns about affordability and political challenges grew.

Democrats praise Jon Ossoff as rising star and potential 2028 contender

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%1%

Democratic commentators and media outlets highlighted Ossoff's strong campaign and appeal, dubbing him a top contender for 2028. This positive buzz contributed to his market price peaking at 9% on June 13 and sustaining elevated interest.

Federal investigation announced into Gavin Newsom and his wife

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%3%

California Governor Gavin Newsom publicly disclosed a federal investigation into himself and his wife, which raised concerns about his presidential prospects. While some Democrats might rally around him if the probe is seen as politically motivated, the announcement caused a decline in his market odds.

The 2028 Democratic ticket speculation grows around Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%1%

Political analysis suggested Ossoff as a key figure in the 2028 Democratic ticket, increasing market interest and supporting his price rise to 9%. This speculation was tied to his strong social media presence and campaign momentum.

Gavin Newsom announces federal DOJ investigation amid 2028 presidential speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 21%4%

California Governor Gavin Newsom publicly revealed that he and his wife are under investigation by the Department of Justice, which he claims is politically motivated by President Donald Trump due to his potential 2028 presidential run. This announcement led to a decline in Newsom's market price from the mid-20s to the low 20% range, reflecting uncertainty about his candidacy.

California Governor Gavin Newsom accuses DOJ of politically motivated investigation

Gavin Newsom dips to 23%2%

Newsom publicly claimed that the Trump administration's DOJ was investigating him and his wife as political retaliation linked to his potential 2028 presidential run. This controversy contributed to volatility and a slight decline in his market odds.

Politico Highlights Jon Ossoff as a Strong Potential 2028 Democratic Ticket Contender

An analysis by Politico argued that Georgia Senators Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock are highly likely to be on the 2028 Democratic ticket, highlighting Ossoff's appeal as an articulate, next-generation candidate.

DOJ investigation into Gavin Newsom and wife surfaces amid 2028 speculation

Gavin Newsom dips to 21%4%

Newsom revealed that the Department of Justice is investigating him and his wife, which he claims is politically motivated due to his potential 2028 presidential run. This news added controversy and pressure, contributing to a decline in his market price.

Jon Stewart addresses 2028 presidential run speculation

Jon Stewart acknowledged public calls for him to run for president in 2028, attributing the interest to public dissatisfaction, but has not committed to a campaign, keeping his market odds low.

Jon Ossoff gains national attention as 2028 contender amid Senate reelection

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%4%

Senator Jon Ossoff's rising profile and viral campaign style have made him a notable 2028 Democratic contender, though he publicly denies presidential ambitions, contributing to fluctuating market odds.

Poll shows Pete Buttigieg surging past Kamala Harris in 2028 Democratic primary support

Kamala Harris dips to 7%1%

A new poll indicated Pete Buttigieg overtaking Kamala Harris in Democratic primary support, signaling challenges for Harris's candidacy and contributing to a decline in her market price during this period.

Gavin Newsom announces balanced California state budget for 2026-27

Gavin Newsom rises to 27%2%

Newsom's announcement of a balanced state budget on June 15, 2026, reinforced his image as a capable leader, briefly boosting his market odds before a gradual decline later in the window.

Gavin Newsom leads Democratic field with 27% support for 2028 nomination

Gavin Newsom rises to 27%4%

A poll in mid-June showed Gavin Newsom as the leading Democratic candidate with 27% support, boosting his market price to a peak before subsequent declines due to controversies and shifting dynamics.

Gavin Newsom Accuses Trump Administration of Directing Politically Motivated DOJ Investigation Against Him and His Wife

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%1%

California Governor Gavin Newsom released a video claiming that he and his wife are under federal investigation by the Department of Justice, which he argued was a politically motivated attack targeting him as a potential 2028 presidential contender.

Gavin Newsom Announces He and His Wife Are Under Federal Investigation

California Governor Gavin Newsom announced that he and his wife are under a federal DOJ investigation, claiming it is a politically motivated attack by Donald Trump due to his 2028 presidential ambitions.

Gavin Newsom reveals DOJ investigation into him and his wife, Jennifer Siebel Newsom

Gavin Newsom dips to 21%4%

California Governor Gavin Newsom announced that the Department of Justice opened an investigation into him, which he claimed was politically motivated. This development introduced political risk and contributed to a decline in his market odds.

Media profiles tout Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff as potential 2028 unity candidate

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Major features in the New York Times and Politico highlighted Senator Jon Ossoff's strong reelection polling and potential as a 2028 Democratic presidential contender, causing his prediction market odds to surge.

Gavin Newsom announces federal investigation into himself and wife

Gavin Newsom dips to 23%2%

Newsom publicly revealed a federal investigation into him and his wife, which briefly dented his presidential odds as concerns about his viability surfaced, contributing to a price decline from 25% to around 21%.

Newsom's DOJ investigation raises his 2028 presidential odds

Gavin Newsom rises to 27%2%

Newsom's revelation of a Department of Justice investigation in mid-June 2026 paradoxically boosted his 2028 presidential nomination odds, reflecting increased media attention and political positioning.

Gavin Newsom rises in 2028 Democratic nomination odds amid DOJ investigation speculation

Gavin Newsom rises to 21%3%

Newsom's odds increased as he became the top contender in prediction markets, driven by reports of a DOJ investigation he framed as politically motivated, raising his profile and market confidence.

California Governor Gavin Newsom announces DOJ investigation into him

Gavin Newsom drops to 21%5%

Newsom revealed that the US Department of Justice is investigating him, which raised concerns and led to a decline in his market price from 26% to 21%. This legal scrutiny affected perceptions of his viability as the 2028 Democratic nominee.

Gavin Newsom Claims DOJ Opened Investigation Into Him and His Wife

Gavin Newsom dips to 24%3%

California Governor Gavin Newsom reported that the Department of Justice opened an investigation into him and his wife, Jennifer Siebel Newsom, which he claimed was politically motivated.

Pete Buttigieg wins 2026 Wisconsin Democratic Party Convention straw poll

Pete Buttigieg's victory in the Wisconsin Democratic Party straw poll highlighted his early strength in the 2028 race, though it had limited impact on market prices compared to frontrunners.

Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Democratic 2028 field with strong support

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

A poll released in mid-June showed Kamala Harris leading the Democratic field with 50% support among Democrats, reinforcing her position as a top contender despite a slight decline in market odds later.

Jon Ossoff gains momentum in Democratic nomination market

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

Ossoff's market price rose from 7% to 9% by June 13, 2026, reflecting growing perception of his viability as a candidate, bolstered by his Senate race performance and broad appeal within the Democratic Party.

Gavin Newsom confirms he is evaluating a 2028 presidential run after 2026 midterms

Gavin Newsom rises to 25%1%

Gavin Newsom publicly stated he is seriously considering a 2028 presidential run following the 2026 congressional elections, reinforcing his frontrunner status. This announcement helped stabilize his market price around 24-25%.

Gavin Newsom Hosts Hunter Biden on Podcast for Extended Interview

Gavin Newsom dips to 23%1%

California Governor Gavin Newsom hosted Hunter Biden on his podcast for a 95-minute interview, drawing national media attention to his platform as he continues to build his national profile ahead of a potential 2028 run.

Pete Buttigieg to keynote Iowa Democratic event, fueling 2028 speculation

Pete Buttigieg jumps to 12%7%

Pete Buttigieg was announced as the keynote speaker for a major Iowa Democratic event, signaling his continued national presence and fueling speculation about a 2028 presidential run.

Early polling shows Kamala Harris as 2028 Democratic frontrunner with Gavin Newsom second

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

Polls in June 2026 confirmed Kamala Harris leading the Democratic field, with Gavin Newsom consistently in second place, reflecting the early sorting of the field and influencing market prices accordingly.

New York Times Opinion Piece Boosts Jon Ossoff as Ideal 2028 Candidate

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%2%

An influential opinion piece by Michelle Goldberg in The New York Times argued that Ossoff is the ideal candidate for the 2028 Democratic nomination, further fueling prediction market interest despite his denials.

Hunter Biden jokes about running as Gavin Newsom's VP in 2028

During Gavin Newsom's podcast, Hunter Biden jokingly said he would run in 2028 only as Newsom's vice president, which attracted media attention and briefly influenced market sentiment around Newsom's campaign positioning.

Joe Biden hints at 2028 run but only as Gavin Newsom's vice president

Gavin Newsom rises to 26%2%

On June 11, 2026, President Joe Biden hinted at a 2028 presidential run but stated he would only run as Gavin Newsom's vice president, reinforcing Newsom's frontrunner status and impacting his market price.

Opinion piece criticizes Gavin Newsom's 2028 prospects amid Midwest skepticism

Gavin Newsom dips to 21%4%

An opinion article highlighted skepticism about Gavin Newsom's appeal in key Midwestern states, citing his COVID-19 restrictions and French Laundry dining scandal, which contributed to a decline in his market odds.

Opinion piece argues Kamala Harris should not be 2028 Democratic nominee

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

A USA Today opinion column criticized Kamala Harris's chances and highlighted her 2024 loss and perceived lack of progress, which likely contributed to her stagnant market price during June 2026.

Jon Ossoff publicly denies 2028 presidential run amid rising speculation

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff emphatically stated he is not running for president in 2028, focusing instead on his tight Senate reelection campaign in Georgia. Despite his denial, prediction markets doubled his odds, reflecting increased investor belief in his potential candidacy.

Kentucky tourism hits record $14.6 billion economic impact in 2025

Andy Beshear rises to 3%1%

Beshear highlighted Kentucky's tourism growth as part of his successful governance record, bolstering his national profile and presidential prospects.

Kamala Harris faces declining support as backers seek fresh Democratic candidates

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris's 2028 presidential ambitions faced skepticism from major donors and party leaders who preferred fresh faces, contributing to a decline in her market odds during this period.

Kamala Harris faces skepticism from former allies seeking fresh Democratic faces

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Reports revealed that some former supporters of Harris prefer new candidates like Newsom or Ocasio-Cortez, dampening enthusiasm for her 2028 bid and contributing to a decline in her market odds.

Former allies express doubts about Kamala Harris's 2028 presidential prospects, favoring fresh candidates

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Reports emerged that influential Democratic donors and former supporters of Kamala Harris prefer a fresh candidate for 2028, leading to a decline in her market price from 9% to 7%.

Andy Beshear announces Kentucky's record tourism year in 2025

Andy Beshear rises to 3%1%

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear announced 2025 as the state's best tourism year ever, highlighting economic growth and boosting his profile as a potential 2028 presidential candidate, reflected in a slight market increase from 2% to 3%.

Kamala Harris admits thinking about 2028 presidential run amid mixed donor enthusiasm

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

Kamala Harris publicly acknowledged considering a 2028 presidential bid, but reports indicated lukewarm enthusiasm from major donors and some party figures, reflecting uncertainty about her prospects and impacting her market position.

Former backers urge Kamala Harris to step aside for fresh 2028 Democratic candidates

Kamala Harris dips to 6%3%

Reports emerged that some of Kamala Harris's former supporters prefer new faces for the 2028 nomination, citing a need for a fresh candidate. This sentiment contributed to a decline in her market odds from 9% to 6%.

Jon Ossoff's Senate prominence and fundraising boost his profile

Jon Ossoff rises to 8%2%

Senator Jon Ossoff's strong fundraising and visibility as a key Democratic figure in Georgia increased his appeal as a potential 2028 presidential candidate, contributing to a steady rise in his market price from 6% to 8%.

Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear announces 2025 was state's biggest tourism year

Beshear's announcement of record tourism success in Kentucky highlighted his effective governance and growing national profile, supporting his 2028 presidential prospects.

Kamala Harris' 2028 Ambitions Face Blow as Former Backers Seek Fresh Faces

Kamala Harris dips to 7%1%

Reports emerged that former allies and major donors are unenthusiastic about a repeat performance by Kamala Harris, preferring a fresh candidate for the 2028 ticket.

Kamala Harris purchases $8.15 million Malibu home amid 2028 speculation

Kamala Harris dips to 7%1%

Kamala Harris and her husband bought a high-profile Malibu mansion in June 2026, signaling personal and political stability that may influence perceptions of her 2028 candidacy, though her market price slightly declined from 8% to 7% by mid-June amid mixed donor enthusiasm.

Kamala Harris faces donor skepticism for 2028 bid

Kamala Harris dips to 8%1%

Reports emerged that some of Harris's 2024 backers were hesitant to support her 2028 campaign, citing concerns about appeal to swing voters. This likely contributed to a slight decline or stagnation in her market price.

Jon Ossoff viral anti-Trump speech sparks 2028 front-runner predictions

Jon Ossoff rises to 10%3%

Senator Jon Ossoff delivered a viral speech sharply criticizing Donald Trump, which led to increased market interest and a rise in his odds as a potential 2028 Democratic nominee, despite his public denials of interest in running.

Jon Ossoff Rejects 2028 Presidential Speculation as 'Fantasy Football'

Jon Ossoff rises to 8%1%

Despite growing online enthusiasm and comparisons to Barack Obama, Senator Jon Ossoff explicitly stated he has zero interest in running for president in 2028, urging Democrats to focus on the 2026 midterms.

Rahm Emanuel tests 2028 presidential bid with campaign efforts in New Hampshire

Emanuel's campaign activities in New Hampshire, a key early primary state, serve as a test of his viability for the 2028 Democratic nomination.

Prediction markets warm to Jon Ossoff as 2028 contender amid strong Senate reelection campaign

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%1%

Jon Ossoff's market price rose as prediction markets recognized his viability for 2028, boosted by his strong position in the 2026 Georgia Senate race and broad appeal within the Democratic Party.

Gina Raimondo Rules Out 2028 Presidential Run, Endorses Open Primary

Former Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo distanced herself from the 2028 presidential race, pouring cold water on a potential run and advocating for a competitive, open primary for the Democratic ticket.

Prediction Markets Start Pricing Jon Ossoff as 2028 Contender for President

Jon Ossoff rises to 7%2%

As Senator Jon Ossoff's 2026 Senate reelection campaign gained momentum, prediction markets began warming to him as a potential 2028 presidential contender, lifting his odds.

Kamala Harris faces donor skepticism and calls for fresh Democratic candidates

Kamala Harris dips to 7%2%

Former Vice President Kamala Harris, considering a 2028 presidential bid, encountered skepticism from some former donors and supporters who expressed a preference for new, fresh voices in the Democratic Party. This sentiment contributed to a decline in her market price from 9% to 7%.

New York Times Opinion Piece Boosts Jon Ossoff's Profile as Ideal 2028 Candidate

An influential opinion piece in The New York Times highlighted Senator Jon Ossoff as a premier potential 2028 candidate, sparking a wave of online enthusiasm and driving his market price upward.

Op-Ed praises Jon Ossoff as compelling anti-corruption messenger for 2028

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

A New York Times opinion piece highlighted Ossoff's anti-corruption message and broad appeal, boosting his profile as a potential 2028 nominee. This positive media coverage contributed to a gradual increase in his market price during June.

Media profiles and rising buzz position Senator Jon Ossoff as a potential 2028 unity candidate

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%3%

Prominent features in national outlets like the New York Times and Politico touted Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff as a leading 2028 contender, causing his prediction market odds to rise.

New York Times highlights Jon Ossoff as a compelling 2028 Democratic prospect

Jon Ossoff rises to 9%2%

The New York Times published an opinion piece praising Jon Ossoff's anti-corruption message and broad appeal, comparing him to Barack Obama and positioning him as an ideal 2028 candidate. This media endorsement contributed to a rise in his market odds from 7% to 9%.