A crowded field of nine Republicans competing for the open nomination in Florida’s 9th Congressional District has produced a fragmented vote ahead of the August 18 primary. A mid-August Victory Insights poll of likely GOP primary voters found the top four candidates—Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, Ben Butler, and Dan Green—statistically tied in the low-to-mid teens, with 41 percent undecided. Limited name recognition across the redrawn district, overlapping emphasis on affordability and reducing federal spending, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner or major outside spending have kept the contest tight. Late endorsements, such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna’s support for Green, along with final-week advertising and turnout efforts among different geographic and ideological segments of the electorate, could shift support and produce separation before ballots close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডBen Butler 31.1%
Dan Green 29%
Jorge Martinez 23.6%
Thomas Chalifoux 16.7%
$131,372 Vol.
$131,372 Vol.

Ben Butler
31%

Dan Green
29%

Jorge Martinez
24%

Thomas Chalifoux
17%

Justin Story
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%
Ben Butler 31.1%
Dan Green 29%
Jorge Martinez 23.6%
Thomas Chalifoux 16.7%
$131,372 Vol.
$131,372 Vol.

Ben Butler
31%

Dan Green
29%

Jorge Martinez
24%

Thomas Chalifoux
17%

Justin Story
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A crowded field of nine Republicans competing for the open nomination in Florida’s 9th Congressional District has produced a fragmented vote ahead of the August 18 primary. A mid-August Victory Insights poll of likely GOP primary voters found the top four candidates—Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, Ben Butler, and Dan Green—statistically tied in the low-to-mid teens, with 41 percent undecided. Limited name recognition across the redrawn district, overlapping emphasis on affordability and reducing federal spending, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner or major outside spending have kept the contest tight. Late endorsements, such as Rep. Anna Paulina Luna’s support for Green, along with final-week advertising and turnout efforts among different geographic and ideological segments of the electorate, could shift support and produce separation before ballots close.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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