Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz holds a notable edge in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 23rd congressional district due to his established fundraising lead of over $1.7 million and name recognition, yet trader consensus at 36.5% reflects uncertainty from challenger Oliver Larkin’s grassroots campaign and DSA endorsement. Recent first-quarter reports show Larkin raising $327,500 through small-dollar contributions, narrowing the resource gap, while a March poll indicated near parity after voters reviewed candidate backgrounds. The August primary date and potential for late endorsements or debate performances remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$21,337 Vol.
$21,337 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Jared Moskowitz
36%
Oliver Adams Larkin
21%
$21,337 Vol.
$21,337 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Jared Moskowitz
$9,980 Vol.
36%
Oliver Adams Larkin
$11,358 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz holds a notable edge in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 23rd congressional district due to his established fundraising lead of over $1.7 million and name recognition, yet trader consensus at 36.5% reflects uncertainty from challenger Oliver Larkin’s grassroots campaign and DSA endorsement. Recent first-quarter reports show Larkin raising $327,500 through small-dollar contributions, narrowing the resource gap, while a March poll indicated near parity after voters reviewed candidate backgrounds. The August primary date and potential for late endorsements or debate performances remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
ভলিউম
$21,337শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz holds a notable edge in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 23rd congressional district due to his established fundraising lead of over $1.7 million and name recognition, yet trader consensus at 36.5% reflects uncertainty from challenger Oliver Larkin’s grassroots campaign and DSA endorsement. Recent first-quarter reports show Larkin raising $327,500 through small-dollar contributions, narrowing the resource gap, while a March poll indicated near parity after voters reviewed candidate backgrounds. The August primary date and potential for late endorsements or debate performances remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$21,337শেষ তারিখ
Aug 18, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Representative Jared Moskowitz holds a notable edge in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 23rd congressional district due to his established fundraising lead of over $1.7 million and name recognition, yet trader consensus at 36.5% reflects uncertainty from challenger Oliver Larkin’s grassroots campaign and DSA endorsement. Recent first-quarter reports show Larkin raising $327,500 through small-dollar contributions, narrowing the resource gap, while a March poll indicated near parity after voters reviewed candidate backgrounds. The August primary date and potential for late endorsements or debate performances remain key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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