Chicago's official high of 84–85°F at Midway International Airport on August 4, 2026, drove the market's near-certain 100% pricing on that bin. National Weather Service forecast models and climatological normals (83.7°F average high) aligned closely with observed conditions under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing modest afternoon warming without significant warm-air advection. Traders weighted real-time consensus around this narrow range, reflecting the low historical variance near the seasonal peak. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled boundary-layer moisture or station-specific microclimate effects could have shifted the official maximum outside 84–85°F, but post-event verification locked in the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$37,700 Vol.
$37,700 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$37,700 Vol.
$37,700 Vol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
$638 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$539 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,190 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$2,239 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,405 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$8,435 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$6,680 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,484 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,709 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$741 Vol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$643 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chicago's official high of 84–85°F at Midway International Airport on August 4, 2026, drove the market's near-certain 100% pricing on that bin. National Weather Service forecast models and climatological normals (83.7°F average high) aligned closely with observed conditions under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing modest afternoon warming without significant warm-air advection. Traders weighted real-time consensus around this narrow range, reflecting the low historical variance near the seasonal peak. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled boundary-layer moisture or station-specific microclimate effects could have shifted the official maximum outside 84–85°F, but post-event verification locked in the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ভলিউম
$37,700শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chicago's official high of 84–85°F at Midway International Airport on August 4, 2026, drove the market's near-certain 100% pricing on that bin. National Weather Service forecast models and climatological normals (83.7°F average high) aligned closely with observed conditions under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing modest afternoon warming without significant warm-air advection. Traders weighted real-time consensus around this narrow range, reflecting the low historical variance near the seasonal peak. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled boundary-layer moisture or station-specific microclimate effects could have shifted the official maximum outside 84–85°F, but post-event verification locked in the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$37,700শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chicago's official high of 84–85°F at Midway International Airport on August 4, 2026, drove the market's near-certain 100% pricing on that bin. National Weather Service forecast models and climatological normals (83.7°F average high) aligned closely with observed conditions under mostly sunny skies and light winds, producing modest afternoon warming without significant warm-air advection. Traders weighted real-time consensus around this narrow range, reflecting the low historical variance near the seasonal peak. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled boundary-layer moisture or station-specific microclimate effects could have shifted the official maximum outside 84–85°F, but post-event verification locked in the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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